Written by Graeme on Thursday, November 5th, 2015
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We went 3-0 last night for a perfect night.
Variance was on our side in the Jets vs Leafs game. With 2 minutes left on the clock it was 2-2. Thankfully Jets scored not once but twice to win us both the Jets in regulation bet, and the Over 5.5 goals. That was very nice.
We also had the Pittsburgh Penguins to win and they were 3-0 with just 9 minutes to go. They ended up getting complacement and the Canucks scored twice but the Penguins won to make it a perfect night.
Did you see Babcock going on about bigger nets again? Has anyone ever looked at a Reimer performance and thought “Yeah there needs to be a bigger net behind this guy”. Just amazing.
We’re going to be changing something over the next couple of days at BetNHL.ca.
For the last few years when we give the odds – we go with the most widely available line. For example – Jets 2.05 was what you’d find at the majority of books yesteday, even though some books had it for 2.20 or above(we actually locked it in at 2.25).
Doing it with the most widely available line actually reflects badly on our record. Last season, our public record was +49.66 units. In reality with line shopping, it was about 60 units.
We did it this way initially because when we set up the site it was initially targeted towards Canadians who bet at their local convenience store and were getting the crappy odds. We felt it was only fair to them to do that.
However we didn’t realize how popular we’d become – we get over 30,000 unique visitors on a daily basis – and Canada isn’t even our #1 country anymore. Feel free to guess in the comments who our most popular country is.
We feel it is in everyones best interests to list the best available line. Not just ours – but you should be betting at the sportsbook with the best odds. I mean imagine you are flipping a coin and you can get $20 if it comes up heads, or you can get $22. No-one in their right minds would ever pick $20. Hopefully if we keep doing it, we’ll drum it into your heads just how important line shopping can be. We won’t be going back retroactively and adjusting our record or anything – it’ll just be from here on out.
We’ll be starting that as of tomorrow – just wanted to give everyone a heads up.
Let’s get to todays tips:
Panthers vs Sharks Betting Tips:
We’re going to take the Florida Panthers to win.
This is a bet just dripping in value. Sharks haven’t looked great for the last week or so, while the Panthers have had a solid start to the season. Panthers are coming into this riding a 3 game losing streak – but that was 3 tough fought games against the Ducks, Capitals and Bruins. 2 of which they took to OT – and they were extremely unlucky not to beat the Ducks last night.
Panthers are currently 2.70 to win and I just think that’s huge value. Personally I would set this line at maybe Panthers 2.20. Sharks could have a good bounce back game – but I’d much rather be on the Panthers.
Flyers vs Flames Betting Tips:
Betting Over 5.5 in Flames games is something you almost want to do blindly – especially lately with them able to find the net while also conceding at an alarming rate.
It doesn’t feel as good here with the Flyers offense and how weak they are at the moment. I mean only 2 goals against the Edmonton Oilers? Is this an AHL team or something?
However Flyers do have the offensive talent and we’ve seen them in action this season already. After 4 games of them struggling we’re hoping they can explode tonight in a nice competitive game.
Take Over 5.5 goals.
Place your bets at Bovada for Americans and http://www.Bet365.com for everyone else..
Only the two picks tonight. Despite a lot of games it’s a bloody hard night. Good luck out there!
One of those days for me, that I just can’t decide what to bet. Thinking continously for an hour, reading,checking statistics, looking at tipsters. But still nothing comes on my mind. How to deal with nights like this?
Don’t force yourself to make a bet. Sometimes it’s nice to have a night off. Tonight is a real tough night.
Graeme
No one is taking the over in th Caps/Bruins game. I dont get it when theyre two of the highest scorers in the league.
I don’t hate the Over in that game. Bruins offense is really rolling at the moment, and their defense is a mess. Capitals offense obviously phenomenal when they’re on.
Probably more based on historical results between the teams. Only 2 of their last 8 have went over and the Capitals complete shutouts of the Bruins last season was something. Capitals also 7 of their games so far have went under, and only 1 game at home has went over 5.5. Bruins defense other than Dallas game has looked a bit better.
Not disagreeing with you – just playing devils advocate. I’d rather be on the over than the under in that game for sure.
Graeme
Is it Finland? If not, then Sweden…
You got it 🙂
what do you think about kings tonight?
We were extremely close to taking the Kings in regulation. They’re really looking good defensively at the moment. However going back and looking at the Jackets last few games we couldn’t pull the trigger on it. Torts has did a good job there so far and even when they lose it’s always close.
Graeme
You guys like the panthers huh ? Montoya is starting and they’re playing back to back nights . Looking for a two game parlour for regulation wins . What do you guys think ?
Thanks Spencer
It’s more about value than anything else. You run this game 100 times we expect the Sharks to win more than the Panthers. But the Panthers win enough to make that bet profitable.
So I’d say it depends on if you want to go with the value bet, or are looking for “easier” wins. Although tonight really no game looks like an easy one 🙂
You guy of the teams playing tonight, which teams do you see scoring at least 3 team goals tonight?
Bayo
You know – I’ve spent 5 minutes looking at the games and I just don’t know. Capitals or Bruins both have potential to score 3 each, as do Senators and Jets. If Tampa win I’d expect them to score at least 3 too.
Graeme
Congrats on going 3-0! Hopefully, luck will be on the Panthers side tonight. They’ve been putting in the effort so they’re due for a win and SJ has been inconsistent. Take Graeme’s advice Tomas. You never lose if you don’t bet. You might miss an opportunity but another one will come along. With Fleury in net, there’s a good chance the Pens will beat the Oilers minus McDavid (poor guy) tomorrow and the Leafs are playing btob with the Wings and Caps. Watch a game and relax tonight. 🙂
I am from the UK.When it comes to gambling we here are Spoiled with dozens of independent bookmakers offering different lines in every town and city.Oh and I love the NHL.
SJ Sharks and Montreal win…
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