Written by Graeme on Saturday, December 12th, 2015
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Oops had written tips earlier but they didn’t post. And not at home. Had bruins too Damnit.
Habs to win and rangers in regulation
Written by Graeme on Saturday, December 12th, 2015
Follow @BetNHL
You’re just a voice in the wind. Your random picks just shown up. Don’t worry –someone will check your page exept you
No-one cares about your bets. It’s true
Ottawa to win and Calgary in regulation
nhl tips december 12 – a voice in the wind.
Hahahahah nice play
:)))
In that case…Habs, Sabres and Sharks.
Hey thinking it’s gonna be
LA
Was
NYI
Carolina
Good luck too all !!
Haha whoooshhhh and the voice is gone ?
Here my bets for what very little it’s worth. Going to have write up and all that crap as I’m straight copy and paste from where it was written.
Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens
Canadiens to win
Computer calculated win % for Montreal is at 61.1% and so at their current price of 1.71 this gives a +EV of 4.48%
The Habs are rated 5 positions higher than the Sens in my team rating system.
Both teams have similar GF/G averages but Ottawa have conceded more- higher GA/G.
Montreal have better penalty kill than Ottawa this year.
Canadiens have lost 4 games on the bounce and they haven’t done this since Jan 2014. They have not lost 5 in a row since 2012. It seems like a good time for them to come out fighting and try and end their skid. The losing run has to end eventually.
Senators have been on a good run, playing well, but that came to an end when the wheels fell off in a 4-1 drilling by Tampa 2 days ago. This might prove a bit demoralising and Sens could lose their first 2 on the bounce in a while.
Canadiens record against Ottawa is poor this year losing last 3 out of 4. 1 at home and 2 away. They have to end this run of loses to the Sens at some point.
Personally I also think the under 5.5 tonight here has some value for a few varying reasons, but I can’t bring myself to pull the trigger as the last few games between these have had quite a few over 5.5 and the others at 5 exactly, with no low scoring matches.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Arizona Coyotes
Coyotes to win and Over 5 goals
Computer calculated win % is 58.4% so at their current price of 1.86 that gives a +EV of 8.62%
Coyotes rank 6 places higher than Canes in my team ranking system.
Although Hurricanes tend to have a good record against the Coyotes for whatever reason, it is a lot lot worse when playing in Arizona.
Coyotes have been very solid this year at home and need to try and follow their last game up with another win, getting some good home form in after their tragic road trip and although they are coming off the back of a good win against the Ducks, a side like the Hurricanes is an ideal team to do it against.
Both teams played last night so more or less rest is no issue.
They have both shown they are capable of scoring and also conceding.
5 of last 6 Coyotes games have gone over 5 and 5 of last 6 Hurricanes games have gone over 5, with the other hitting 5.
Canes smashed the ducks last night 5-1 and the last game between Coyotes and Canes ended 5-4, despite few shots on goal.
With the line being at 5 when I think it should be at 5.5 it is a no brainier imo to back the over.
Kings in regulation
The price for the money line compared to my computer projected win % of 55.4% means it has negative EV, but I still think the regulation price of 2.10 has good value.
The Kings rank 27 teams higher than the Sabres in my team ranking system.
The Kings are on fire at the moment seeking their 7th straight win. Buffalo are an ideal team to take this against. Sabres have lost 3 in a row and 10 of their last 13.
what kind of program calculates win? O.o
Good luck to all and good night ?
Rangers no..Washington yes..had Tampas number and Tampa just isn’t last years Tampa..Mtl with Tokarski, won’t touch..
Canadians, Capitals and Rangers! Good luck
Took Bs/Cats o5 – WRONG!
Also:
NYI ML (superior team vs. 2nd string goalie)
LAK ML (superior team vs. 2nd string goalie)
SJS ML vs 2nd string goalie
Sens ML vs 2nd string goalie
Caps/Bolts over 5 – two high powered offenses. Triplets are back!
Canes/Yotes over 5 – two leaky goalies and both teams can find the back of the net.
NYR/Flames over 5 -both teams have offense and Hiller is leaky
What do you mean, I do not understand
do not understand what?
who will win
NYI/CLB: Isles have the edge when McElhinney is -0-5-1
Wash/TB: Wash has the edge when they’re 8-1-1 vs TB, Kuzetsov is hot & Johnson is out again…
*Wash lost last game & has yet to lose 2 consecutive games;
Dal/St.L: Dal is 11-2-0 on the road but on a btob & Blues are 1-4-5; I give the edge to the Stars but Blues will be competitive;
Car/Ari: Like the over in this one when Canes have scored 5 goals in last three games, Skinner is hot, Lindback is 4-5-0 & both have +3.00 GAA;
Min/SJ: Couture is out but I think SJ has the edge; their 5 game losing streak has to end sometime and this is a good opportunity when the Wild have a bad road record & Kuemper is playing both on this btob; Good luck tonight!
Ya came a little late those tips but I still don’t understand how u can trust the Rangers after a 7-5 lost… Like in regulation was just too risky.. At least ML which also didn’t work… Rangers are leaking so bad… That i couldn’t pull the trigger on them. Tks for the other tip… That one had more value for the odd.. But u can’t just bet on the team just because of the name only…