Written by Graeme on Thursday, December 17th, 2015
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Another winning night with the NHL tips, as we won our betting tip of Capitals/Senators Under 5.5.
We also alluded to the Bruins/Penguins Under and the Bruins win on the tips and the comments. Kicking myself for not tipping that one honestly. It wasn’t until later when I was analyzing Zatkoffs games this season that I realized the Penguins don’t give a crap about protecting him. I mean 53 freaking shots allowed from Buffalo and 37 from the Devils? Ugh.
If you followed our OHL betting tip that was another winner at 2.05 odds as Saginaw won 8-4 in a dominant performance.
We’ve had some people ask why we don’t tip overtimes. We have in the past – but very rarely. It’s such a high variance play and when it comes to the official tips we generally shy away from those.
However I’m currently at work on some experimental betting systems – one for 1st period hockey, the other for predicting overtimes. If all goes well I may start posting the betting suggestions they come up with from January onwards. I’ll see how it goes over the next couple of weeks to round out the year.
It’s a busy night in the NHL and I’m curious about quite a few things tonight such as the Oilers and if they can bounce back. Looking forward to chilling tonight with a few beers for an evening of sports and hopefully winning betting tips.
Speaking of – let’s get to it:
Leafs vs Sharks Betting Tips:
Being based in Ontario I read a lot about the Leafs in the media – whether I like it or not. But it’s nice because it allows me to focus more on their games while avoiding any bias.
One thing that has really stuck out over the past week is their goaltending situation. Bernier going in goal the other night and conceding a crapload just added to that.
This is a team that currently has confidence in the 3-1 Sparks. A LOT of confidence. It’s the type of goalie confidence that can actually mean the difference between a win and a loss – so when I woke up this morning I was pretty sure I’d be tipping the Leafs.
I’ve looked through everything and I’m happy with the odds on the Leafs to win. They’re confident and have Sparks in net and are going up against a Sharks team who have struggled lately with just the lone win in December.
It’s been just over 4 years since the Leafs last beat the Sharks, but I like them to do the business tonight.
Leafs to win.
Canada: 2.00 Odds at Sports Interaction plus $20 Free.
USA: +100 Odds at 5Dimes.
Everyone Else: 2.00 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
Blackhawks vs Oilers Betting Tips:
These two are usually always good for high scoring games against each other. It’s just one of those games where the goals always seem to fly in.
It’ll be interesting watching how the Blackhawks play now the Kane streak is broken. You could tell they were trying their best to get him involved as much as possible for that – and it actually worked out for them for the most part.
After being shut out the other night I like the Blackhawks offense to come out firing on all cylinders. The Oilers will hopefully still be on a high after their nice run and should be good for some goals.
Over 5.5 Goals.
Canada: 2.06 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: +105 Odds at 5Dimes.
Everyone Else: 2.06 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
Stars vs Flames Betting Tips:
The Flames have had a lot of points over the last couple of weeks – but the majority of them have been at home. Their road form is a bit better – but I think they’re going to have a hard time of it against Dallas, who have looked very good at home.
Frolik is out for the Flames which sucks for them but isn’t massive.
I’m conflicted for this one. I like the Stars to win and after the previous game the two had I feel like the Stars will be up for this one. However the Over 5.5 is very appealing too. Stars games at home go over the majority of the time, and these two have a wild recent history of goals.
However I’m just not convinced on the Flames on the road. After the way the Stars blew their 3-0 lead last time – I think that’s a factor. Stars will tighten up knowing they can’t let the Flames back in the game and will be wary of them. I also really liked what I saw from the Stars against Columbus, and am expecting to see another professional performance like that.
I’m going to go for value with this one. Stars -1.5.
Canada: 2.47 Odds at 5Dimes.
USA: +147 Odds at 5Dimes.
Everyone Else: 2.47 Odds at 5Dimes.
I like NYI for the win tonight. they were on a 3 win streak, prior to the beatdown from Panthers. Im hoping (and thinking) that it was a fluke, and they are gonna be pushing back again tonight, against a Colorado team who seems to be doing amazing, but might not be as eager to keep the streak going compared to Islanders getting their game back up. I did also like 5.5 goals, but after looking into it a bit more, i very much doubt we’ll see that many goals tonight.
Canadians, and LAK….. Not touching that, i can’t even come with anything remotely qualified guess. Looking forward to seeing what people (if any) will say about that one.
Good luck people.
Habs know their defense has been off lately so they’ve made some line changes that should hopefully fix that. In saying that – with Gallagher and Price out it’s hard to back the Habs at the moment.
You got Leafs vs Blues instead Sharks 😉
Thanks Pepa – fixed. 🙂
My picks for tonight:
Devils, Ducks, Blackhawks and Blue Jackets.
Devils Have a crushing head too head with Coyotes at home. Also Ducks win last four games with Sabres and i expect to make five.
I don’t think Blackhawks make 2 loses at home in the row and at last Blue Jackets it’s just a feling of my.
Sory for my poor english. All i know is learn from the moovies and heavy metal music.
Your English is great man 🙂 Good luck tonight. I was ready to take the Ducks myself but I just didn’t like their odds against a Buffalo team who can produce the goods often enough to make it -EV IMO.
Those are great picks! Wish I could back the Ducks, but I have trust issues with them right now.
Good luck!
yeah, if you’re learning from movies and songs… you are way ahead of the curve. I took spanish for like 12 years in school and work with mexican guys regularly and I still couldn’t post an understandable comment in a soccer comment section
I even had to edit my own english comment. You definitely win.
What does the Stars -1.5 mean?
It’s a handicap bet. So Stars need to win by at least 2 goals.
You would take 1.5 off the final score the Stars have.
So if final score is Stars 4-3 win, then they actually lose because 4-1.5 is 2.5 which is less than 3. If they win 5-3 then it’s 3.5-3 so a win.
But basically – have to win by at least 2.
Thanks !
great odds on Stars -2, worth a 2u
Flyers ML – Nucks are in middle of grinding road trip and putting up 2nd string keeper with 2.87 GA. I like Flyers to win by 2+
Kings ML – LAK are well rested and playing with confidence vs Habs team that just sucks right now.
Kings 2.5+ – scored 3+ in 7 0f last 10. Condon and D have been leaky of late.
Flames/Stars over – #1 GF vs #1 GA. Flames have respectable GF of 2.63 and both goalies/D are leaky. 7U
Flames/Stars over 1.5 for 1st
CBJ/Yotes over – two leaky 2nd string goalies.
CBJ +2.5 – CBJ is not a goal scoring machine but in last 7 Yotes have given up 30 goals.
My pick is NJDevils vs FL. I read that Devils have dominated this series at home. But what pushes me more on NJ is the fact that Roberto Luongo is going to rest today and the Panthers will be with their backup.
Phil/Vanc Over 5 goals. Philly has picked up their scoring a bit and Canucks have been woeful, allowing tons of goals. Vanc going with their backup in this one and, when ever Phily has played in a home game where the total is 5, four of them have gone Over the total.
thumbs up on Flyers/Nucks over, but I think Flyers 2.5+ is a bit likelier
hay lads all the way from down under Australia me and my mates have put on a muiti and if it gets up we will be 3500 bucks better off
our picks are
ducks
panthers
philly
Montreal
sharks
rangers
blues
blackhawks
stars
blue jackets
corlardo
what do you think ?
we have a good understanding as we watch the games most days and we do ok on muitis
My picks are here to be taken!
Canadians win 100%
Rangers win 85%
Islanders win 75%
Coyotes win 75%
and here are the fantastic ones,
Blues vs predators 0
Blackhawks vs oilers 0
Good luck everyone!
you missed everything, not bad 😀
Haha came to post this. Actually takes skills to miss everything, so good job 😀
It was a bad night for me ? I think for many!
Well Since the Ducks Odd has been Raising I think it has more value at 1.77 @ Betfair Moneyline… looks more reasonable.
Must win for them and with anderson back on the net looks good for a win , gonna be tight but they have much more value then last place, think its tonight that they are going to put away the bad image against Carolina
I really don’t agree that much with the handicap… I prefer +5.5 goals… even if u live let it raise a little… or waiting for a +4.5 … these teams normally score and leak goals… don’t think it’s going to be that easy for the stars… calgary also running on a 6 game winning streak, so I except this to be a little more tight
like the +5.5 goals hawks – oilers.
the leafs… I really don’t know… looks like a bit of a coin flip… could go either way… staying away from that one also
lots of tuff games tonight, GL to all
oh… and I also like the over on Flyers – Canucks… pretty good game for an over here… Flyers been picking up the pace… canucks on a slump , but probably want to get the most out of this one… and most of the game between them reached at least 5… probably doing a +4.5 live and letting it raise a little the odd
Yeah I was very close to making the Over a play tonight on that one. But the inconsistencies on both offenses were what put me off.
tks for the reply… I really follow this everyday and it has been for at least 2 season’s , but as time as passed by I’ve been learning also a little with the pre-live tips… it ain’t easy ! I prefer playing Live… it’s where the best oportunities are in my opinion.
Keep it up and cheers for you 🙂
Picks NHL
BUF
VAN
FLA
TOR
MON
NAS
CLB
After everything I wrote about the confidence in Sparks – he was pulled after 9 minutes. I’ve never enjoyed losing a bet so much. Amazing.