Written by Scott on Tuesday, March 8th, 2016
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1-1 last night with the tips.
We had Over 5 in the Lightning vs Flyers game and the Flyers won 4-2. With the win the Flyers are now at 73 points, only 2 behind the Red Wings for 8th place in the East.
We also had Over 5 in the Capitals vs Ducks game but the Caps won 2-1 in a shootout. The Caps ended the Ducks winning streak at 11 games but the Ducks are still 18-1-2 over their last 21 games. If this was a preview of the Stanley Cup finals then we are in for an amazing series.
The Sabres beat the Leafs 4-3 in a shootout which has the Leafs in last place with 53 points, 6 points behind the Oilers who are in 29th. I really hope the Leafs stay where they are to give themselves the best chance at the first pick in the draft. The Bruins beat the Panthers 5-4 in OT and the Bruins are now tied with the Panthers for 2nd in the Atlantic Division. Overall another great night of NHL action.
Another busy night with 8 games. Let’s get to the tips.
Rangers vs Sabres Betting Tips:
Rangers have had the Sabres number over the last 10 meetings going 9-1.
But tonight the Rangers will again be without Lundqvist. Still like the Rangers chances in this one. And the odds for a Rangers win show that.
But the Sabres have had some high scoring games lately. Their last 3 had goal totals of 7, 5 and 9. The Rangers are ranked 7th overall in goals per game and have had totals of 10, 5 and 5 over their last 3 games.
They have played once already this season and it was a Rangers 6-3 win. I like the chances of this game being another high scoring one.
Over 5.5
Predators vs Jets Betting Tips:
The Predators are on fire at the moment. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are 8-0-4 over their last 12.
The Jets are in a slump. They’re 2-6-2 over their last 10.
The Preds have gotten strong goaltending too. Rinne is 6-0-2 with a 1.72 gaa over his last 8 games. Preds backup goalie Carter Hutton is 4-0-1 with a 1.19 gaa over his past 5. So they’re safe with whoever gets the start in this one.
Really like the Preds chances in this game.
Predators in regulation
Penguins vs Islanders Betting Tips:
When these teams play each other there’s goals. Over the last 10 meeting there has been and average of 6.60 goals scored. Over those games both teams have records of 5-4-1. This is going to be a great game. The Penguins rank 10th with 2.72 and the Isles 5th with 2.86 goals per game.
The first game between these 2 was a 5-2 Penguins win. Hard to predict a winner but I do like there to be goals
Over 5.5
.
Experimental Betting Systems:
1st Period High Confidence: New York Rangers (2.55)
1st Period Low Confidence: Dallas Stars (2.80), Columbus Blue Jackets (3.15).
Bet the 1st periods at 888 Sports..
Americans: Bet 1st Periods at BetOnline. or Bovada.
BESIDES THE FLYERS FOR ALWAYS SCREWING ME. I went 2/3
New day new picks AM I RIGHT
TONIGHT I LIKE
RANGERS
PREDATORS
SHARKS
Any tips for the other games?
im not betting on all the games but if i had to those are the picks
DET
CAR
NYR
DAL
PIT
BOS
NSH
SJ
Thanks!
Thinking about doing a system!
Hey Guys,
have the same Picks for tonight. Totally agree with them. Im going with the Preds in regulation and the two Overs, too.
I will also have the Rangers to win in regulation – Really like the odds here!
Had some thoughts about the Over 5.5 in Bruins vs. Lighnting, but not sure about that. Also about the Sharks – They’re strong at road games, but often I like how the Oilers are playing…
– Greeting from Germany –
MAYBE ill take Oilers ATS
ATS?
Against the spread
Ah ok, thanks 😉
What do u guys think is a better pick. SJ to beat Edm or Nsh to beat wpg
Nashville. Oilers were actually close to a pick for us – but we just didn’t like the odds considering their home form.
Thank you
Difficult to put his money for the Habs when Ben Scrivens is in
Do u guys think dallas mtl will be close im leaning toward mtl
Also boston tb what are ur thoughts do u think a close game.
Why you guys didn’t pick the rangers? Thought that would be one pick today…
Also: Do you like the Over 5.5 at Bruins vs. Tampa?
Thank you!
Rangers: Crap odds, especially considering how they played without Lundqvist, going up against a Sabres offense that’s hot the last few games.
Bruins/Tampa: It’s iffy because no idea how Tampa will react after their winning streak was grinded to a halt. Are they going to let the Bruins dominate them like they let Philly? Will they fight back? Very possible they roll over here similar to Panthers when their streak ended.
Thank you! You don’t like the odd for rangers in regulation (it’s about 2)?! I think I will take them, but small.
Great job here guys – Go on!
Seeing the way they leaked goals against the Islanders we just don’t have the full confidence in the Rangers. We did mention up there we think they’ll win – but just not enough value to put the bet on. They’ve also had a tough schedule lately and this could be a tricky game for them.
I’m a Rangers-fan and i completely agree with your analysis of that game. I only see one problem with it, Raanta is either bad/mediocre or he’s amazing and Lehner is kind of the same, so if both have good games then goals can be hard to come by.
If Raanta was more even then i would go with Rangers -1.5 here, but his playing being so up and down i just can’t back that play 100%.
Yeah you gotta love it when a goalie is like that eh – they don’t seem to have any form whatsoever they’ll either show up and perform like a beast or perform like it’s their first game in the NHL.
Lehner has had a few solid games of late but these two usually have feisty games and we’re banking on that.
Yeah, i’d definitely rather go the Over then Rangers here 🙂
I like the way the Rangers come back after a tough loss. I’ve seen it before with them; there’s a lot of pride and fight in that lockerroom.
Dallas, Preds, Oilers
any grand salami play today betnhl?
If we were going with one we’d probably back the Under 44.5.
Thanks
Hello Mate!, I just found out your site and I really enjoyed. Congratulations.
What do you mean with under 44.5?, you meant under 4,5 goals?
Greetings from Spain!.
Thanks!!
Ups, sorry!, I just understood it. Thanks anyway!
I know you posted you just understood it but I’ll do a quick explanation for anyone else reading 🙂
Grand Salami is the total amount of all the goals on that night. So tonight, the sportsbooks have set the line at 44.5 goals and you bet either “under” that or “over” that. Add up all the goals tonight. 44 or less and the “under” bet wins and 45 or over and the “over” bet wins.
It’s a very risky bet and we wouldn’t advise betting it if seeking a positive ROI. However it’s a fun bet to make because it gets you into all the games and depending on the night we’ll usually bet on it. Then that random Panthers-Coyotes game you may not care about becomes key to watch because hey you’ve got money involved in that and the other games.
One of the best places to bet it is Bet365 – http://www.betnhl.ca/go/bet365.php as they also offer a Home Teams vs Away Teams bet. Where at the end of the night you add up all the goals of the home teams and the away teams in a versus type of battle.
5.5 across the board? Amazing. 44.5 is a big nut and I agree with S&G, but at this time of year it’s entirely likely that there may be 2 or 3 high scoring games which could tip things to the over. Too risky to put big units on the salami.
U think Edmonton is going to win at tonight’s game
I like;
Tampa Vs Boston = Boston in reg @ 2.95 is good value imo. Lightning sucked ass yesterday, they where totally dominated. But their keeper was very very good tho, so Boston ML @ 2.2 is good also. Boston is one of the best if not the best away teams. Hard to tell how lightning will play after their steak of 9 is over, but nice value.
Jets Vs Preds = Preds reg @ 2.05 is good if you look at last 10 as you mention.
Stars(Reg 60 Min) -½ +105 – Even without Benn they are a better team than Habs, right now. I like Scrivens because he’s a grad from my univ. but I don’t see him shutting down the Stars.
NYR Rangers/BUF Sabres(1st Perd) ov1½ ev – Two leaky teams right now. If the NYR and NYI can score 7 in first, I don’t see why NYR and Sabres can’t score at least 2
12065 SAN Sharks(Reg 60 Min) -½ +121 – Oilers are enjoying some success because they have no pressure, but I have faith that Sharks are a better and more motivated team with Preds nipping at their heels.
12055 DET Redwings(Reg 60 Min) -½ +144 – Same situation as above. CBJ are playing without pressure, but Wings are desperate to maintain their WC. There are 3 teams within one point of them and they know each game is critical. They are smarting from BH loss and will be very motivated to win tonight.
12051 NYR Rangers(Reg 60 Min) -½ -104 – Same as above. NYR have a spot but they can’t afford to lose. After the debacle vs the Isles, they are going to have their game faces on and bring their A game against a much weaker Sabres team. No OT here.
62 MON Canadiens/DAL Stars un5½ -110 – Stars are without Benn and the Habs…well, I just don’t see a high scoring game here.
15204 NYR Rangers(Team Total) ov2½ -141 – See above. Very motivated NYR team will have no problem putting up 2.5+ vs the Sabres
57 BOS Bruins/TAM Lightning(1st Perd) ov1½ -115 – Bs are without Miller and he’s one of their shut-down guys when playing a fast, talented team. Both teams have lots of fire power and this one will have playoff intensity in the first. Things will settle down in the 2nd, but first will have 20+ shots and at least 2 goals.
57 BOS Bruins/TAM Lightning ov5½ +105 – see above.
59 PIT Penguins/NYI Islanders(1st Perd) ov1½ -105 – a lot of guns on both teams and with Pens able to pick up 2 pts on Isles tonight you’re going to see a lot of pressing. First period is going to be exciting.
57 BOS Bruins/TAM Lightning ov5½ +105 – great value here boys. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the league and Bs are without one of their best D-men
54 CAR Hurricanes/OTT Senators un5½ -125 – Both teams became weaker after the deadline and there isn’t a lot of offense on either side. I’m surprised this isn’t a 5
54 CAR Hurricanes -130 – Canes are playing for more and they are still a better team than Sens who became a lot weaker after trades.
good luck boys
Benn ??? not playing ???
Here are the projected lineups:
Jamie Benn – Tyler Seguin – Patrick Eaves
Mattias Janmark – Jason Spezza – Valeri Nichushkin
Antoine Roussel – Cody Eakin – Ales Hemsky
Radek Faksa – Vernon Fiddler – Colton Sceviour
I think he was referring to jordie but I was thinking the same thing haha
ouf…not the same impact in the game 🙂
seriously…gallagher has been ruled out and eller is game time decision soooo let’s go dallas!
I am suspicious of the Over in the Buffalo/Rangers game. Buffalo played last night and could employ a more defensive grind style this game and the Blue Shirts are missing a couple big names. Anything can happen of course and they tend to score over 3ish but I think I’m going to pass on this one.
I like the other 2 tips though!
Well … That’s why you have a website and I don’t … Nice call!
You forgot to give props to your first period bets last night Scott. A perfect 3 for 3.
I haven’t been playing them as I tend to play safe-ish but you can’t deny the units are showing up!
2-1 to be exact. Flyers didn’t cover even though they had 9 billion shots to the Lightnings 3 🙂 But yeah we’re happy with things so far although still a small sample size.
Oops my bad. Still a good night.
I’m assuming Feb’s stats should be 41-24 (as opposed to 41-124)?
Ha – thanks Brandon. Updated.
Sorry…OCD kicking in.
Rangers win 70% (1.62 ML) – Great game from Lehner is a real possibility tonight. Buffalo will make it interesting to say the least, but with back-to-back, 3rd game in 4 nights with two of the past games going past regulation, in a game where their win con. is to outwork the Rangers for most of the game, it will be a big challenge. Also Rangers have won 9 past meetings, indicating they rarely take the Sabres lightly. That being said the odds for Rangers are very poor, so better to take caution.
Senators win 65% (2.10 ML) – Surprising odds is all i have to say. I have no idea why the Sens get downplayed so much in this one. Yeah they have the pressure, but they’re A LOT better than the Canes and obviously will not take them lightly after losing 3 of the past 4 and being in the middle of a tight playoff race. They played a great game against the Stars and probably should’ve won it. The only concern here is, despite managing to keep the puck out pretty well lately, i think Hammond is fighting it a bit and he’s due to have a bad game.
Columbus-Detroit OT 35% (3.85) – Columbus has had loads of OT games in the past month. Detroit needs a win badly here but the Jackets counter with a good form and no pressure. I guess Detroit is the favorite, but i don’t trust them enough in regulation and i feel like this game is a 50/50 if it goes to OT, so might as well go for the OT rather than winner.
Tampa-Boston OT 30% (4.05) – Gustavsson is 5-0-4 against the Bolts in his career and has posted a 1.75 GAA in Amalie Arena, so he really likes to play against them. Im only basing this pick on gut feeling, but being a divisional rival game there’s always those late gwg’s etc. to rob you from your OT pick, hopefully not tonight. If i had to choose a winner i’d go with Tampa.
Penguins win 60% (1.97 ML)
Canadiens in regulation 40% (3.15)
Predators win 75% (1.66 ML)
Oilers-Sharks OT 30% (4.00)
GL !
keep it up arto!
Lol my god the Sens are choking atm. Miss 2 empty nets, lose lead 0.2 seconds before buzzer, lead the shootout in the final round, lose shootout.
Was good one expect Sens, yeah! 🙂 followed the dobbel Rangers-Nash (RT win) both ✅ and one trippel with Rangers-Nash-Sens (all 3 ML). Was close ?
Lets do it next day, love your analysis normally ?
Nashville RT , Rangers ML (sorry I just cant grab that over… its so uncertain) and Tampa Bay ML … in my opinion
Scott forgot to post the 1st period system picks earlier and we just noticed now.
Added them to above post here they are too:
1st Period High Confidence: Rangers (2.55)
1st Period Low Confidence: Stars (2.80), Jackets (3.15)
– Dallas (-1.5)
– Nashville (Regular Time)
– Tampa (Under 4.5) ~ Potential OT play here
– Detroit (Under 4.5)
– Pittsburgh (Over 6.5) ~ Potential OT play here
– Sharks (Under 5.5)
– Rangers (-1.5)
Good luck everyone!
On my phone so can’t elaborate but …
Rangers ML
Sens ML
Wings ML
Pens/Isles Over
Stars ML
Bruins/Bolts Over
Preds Reg
Sharks Reg
Good luck!
Hey guys,
For what it’s worth my moneyline picks are:
NYR
DET
DAL
PIT
I normally pick 3 games a night but took 4 tonight.
I need Edmonton to lose by only won or win
And they did. I had mediocre night last night 40 euros profit with 240 euros bet. That is not very good but better than the previous night which is 180 loss. Needed PIT last night to draw to make better money – close one…
7th March went 1-1.. 8th March went 2-1.. soo improving hehe 😛 lets go for 3-0 next day!
March 9 main slip picks:
ISLANDERS WIN
BLACK HAWKS DRAW
PREDATORS WIN
CANUCKS WIN
DUCKS WIN
CAPITALS DRAW
combo bet.
ISLANDERS OVER 4.5
BLACK HAWKS OVER 4.5
PREDATORS OVER 4.5
CAPITALS OVER 4.5
parlay medium stake