Written by Graeme on Thursday, March 10th, 2016
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It was quite a bizarre night in the NHL last night, with 5 of the 6 games going to overtime. If you managed to make money last night then good job – from all the forums etc I’ve looked at today it was a bloodshed for the majority of people with quite a few 0-8 and other nights in there. Freak nights like that happen.
Hopefully you were on the first period betting system tips because they went 2-1 for +3.35 units of profit which was nice. I’m surprised those systems are doing so well and still waiting for the drop to happen but variance hasn’t kicked in yet which is nice to see.
Speaking of the 1st period system – someone mentioned in the comments about betting on it at B365. B365 only offer -0.5/+0.5 odds tilted towards the favourites – so if we have an underdog pick you can’t bet there unfortunately. You can do it in live betting though so just have to bet as soon as game starts. Otherwise I recommend 888 Sports.
Was a bit ticked off about the Halak situation. I said yesterday I felt the Islanders would tighten up with Halak missing a game. However then it came out that he was going to be out for SIX WEEKS. Mindblowing. Everything I read said he’d miss just one game, and the injury didn’t look that severe. It’s not like knowing that in advance meant I would have tipped the Leafs or anything – but it’s likely that I would have skipped that game entirely while I wait and see how the Islanders react.
Oh well – that’s hockey for you.
Only 6 games on the board tonight let’s get at em:
Hurricanes vs Bruins Betting Tips:
Me and Scott always have fun arguments when it comes to Hurricanes games. I like how they look on a lot of metrics and on the majority of nights I’m always arguing for them. Although I am surprised at how well they are coping without Staal. Granted it’s only been 3 games(hard to count that Blues game) but I thought they were going into tank mode.
This is one night where we’re not arguing however. Despite what I’ve seen from the Canes, I’m loving everything about Boston lately. They’re just looking so solid and the chemistry seems to be there.
I like Bruins tonight.
Bruins in Regulation.
Canada: 1.92 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: -130 Odds at BetOnline..
Everyone Else: 1.92 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
Canadiens vs Sabres Betting Tips:
Good recent history of high scoring games. Last few games for both teams have seem high scoring games – both on offense and the defense. Ticks all the boxes.
Over 5 goals.
Canada: 1.80 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: -125 Odds at BetOnline..
Everyone Else: 1.80 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
Sharks vs Devils Betting Tips:
Sharks are one of those teams performing better on the road than at home at the moment, however we’ll be backing them in the SAP Center tonight. The Devils have some serious issues at the moment. Losing Schneider is huge and I just don’t think they have the backups for it.
I am a little bit concerned about the Sharks ability to finish a game off but they have had a few solid home wins lately, and I think they can continue that with a nice pounding of the New Jersey Devils. Going to go for the riskier handicap play tonight.
Sharks -1.5.
Canada: 2.28 Odds at 888 Sports.
USA: +115 Odds at BetOnline..
Everyone Else: 2.28 Odds at 888 Sports.
Other Thoughts:
Red Wings are probably a good bet tonight too and were close for us. Jets are trash, but I’m concerned about the way Detroit are playing at the moment. Those back to back losses to Chicago in particular are killer as they really hurt their morale. I mean how can you be a cup contender if you get blown away like that? Just didn’t make the cut for us.
Will probably also throw a value bet on the Oilers as I’m still not 100% convinced of the Wild and their abilities yet and the Oilers on the road play better.
Experimental Betting Systems:
OHL Betting Tips:
2 OHL Tips today. Sault Ste Marie -1.5 at +155 odds, and Peterborough/North Bay Over 7 Goals. Note that Bodog/Bovada list them as the “Marie Greyhounds” for those who don’t know their OHL teams.
Bet the OHL at:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
(Our 1st period systems are based on 3 levels of confidence that the system has for each pick. Ideally all 3 systems will be winners long runs, with the high confidence system doing the best but with the least amount of picks etc)
1st Period System Medium Confidence: Boston Bruins (2.60), Minnesota Wild (2.65), Winnipeg Jets (3.85)
1st Period System Low Confidence: San Jose Sharks (2.38), Ottawa Senators (3.70).
Bet 1st Periods at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv or 888 Sports..
Americans: Bet 1st Periods at BetOnline. or Bovada.
Last night I took a real big beating. I went 1-7 for a huge loss. Looking for today’s best bet so I can fire a break even bet. Any ideas?
Boston looks very safe, a 3-1 win at home is not unlikely at all and with Carolina’s porous offence, I don’t see them grinding out another win while Boston is playing so well.
So Boston in regulation? The M.L is heavy in juice.
ya that seems the most plausible for tonight’s matchup….sharks also look very strong at home against kinkaid and the devils
If you’re looking to chase the loss I wouldn’t do that. Get some solid bankroll management going so that nights like this in the long run won’t be as big a factor.
That’s probably the best advise.
Yeah we’ve all been there. I think at one point this season we went 1-9 over 3 days during an ugly December. Something bad like that. But it happens.
I wrote a couple of articles on the topic earlier this season if you haven’t read I’d recommend giving a look:
http://www.betnhl.ca/blog/no-tips-today-bankroll-management-other-topics.php
http://www.betnhl.ca/blog/bankroll-management-a-follow-up.php
Yesterday, I went 1-2, but that first period bet on the LA Kings saved me and made the loss barely anything. Hopefully, today is better day :D!
Bloody night for sure, thankfully I had a couple of wins (Caps-LAK OT, Caps-LAK O, Flames ML) that mitigated the losses.
I agree with S&G’s picks and already placed exactly the same bets.
Bruins in reg -120 – Bs have the ability to come out flat in their own building; but they are playing really well right now and I hope the level of compete from the road trip carries over at home. They’ll be hearing the boo birds big time if they lay an egg vs a team that won’t be in the playoffs. I have a small bet on Bs -1.5
Sabres-Habs O5 – both teams have been putting up numbers recently and both teams have been giving up goals so O5 is a pretty solid bet here.
Sharks-Devils -1.5 – I see a 5-2 or 4-1 game. Sharks have been putting up crooked numbers in last handful of games and Devils have to be demoralized with loss of Schneider.
Oilers-Wild O5 – Talbot has been shaky and Kuemper has not been lights out in past 5 or 6. I like the speed and offense on both teams and I see this being a pretty safe bet.
a few small unit bets today:
Habs and Sabres both to score more than 2.5
Habs-Sabres OT
Habs-Sabres O1.5 1st
Bs -1.5
Sens-Cats OT
good luck boys.
Hey, if you can place only one bet what would it be?
Sabres-Habs O5
OK thanks!
what u think of Wings-Jets match?
I took wings they can use some points
I would like to advise that you don’t play wings win in regulation.
did u just say few hours back wings win 90% ? :/
Yes I did but not in regulation ?
Well thats the nature of gambling u bet and hope
Maybe win in reg, but anything else is too risky or has no value. Wings couldn’t get past CBJ in a big game; I don’t see them blowing away the Jets, as awful as they are. Jets have played some good teams tough and are playing without pressure. Detroit has to win and will be forcing the play, but their defense and goalies are leaky.
Ok, i got Boston win in RT need to combine it with something else for a good double combo and place my bet.. it is starting soon so dont have good time either 😛
what u say? 🙂
Sabres-Habs over
All right im not gonna go on about how horrible yesterday went.
FOR TONIGHT
BOS
EDM
SJ
What do u guys think about OTT-FLa under 6?
I wouldn’t place that bet. I would play over 4.5 or over 5. I am thinking high scoring game.
If you only had to pick one over under which one would it be for tonight
I like Boston over 4.5 or even over 5. Then again – couple nights ago 0:0 game…. hmmm. Also I would possibly bet Sharks under 5….
Tonight playing only 1st and 3rd periods. Low odds on ML in regulation :(.
What do you think of a MTL win
I am playing MTL 1st period and Buf 3rd – thinking it could be close game going into OT. But originally I was inclined to play MTL….
do you guys like SJ-NJ over 5
No, Devils could lay an 0 and Sharks can’t be counted on to score 4+
Good evening guys,
Great night was for me. I predicted only one game and it was hawks blues game OT. 3.65 odd was a great to go.
Tonight I ll have couple of games for you again.
Wings win %90
Senators win %65
Wild win %80
Devils win %60
Good luck everyone!
does anyone know the HABS 4 lines tonight?
Good night after a not so good start with the Islanders giving up the lead late (at that point you just knew they’d lose), and a great goaltending duel between the Hawks and Blues gave me a push on O5. Avalanche + Kings ML combo at 4.1 odds with medium high stake made for some nice profit. If the Kings melt down was complete i would’ve joined a lot of you guys though ^^
I kind of had the feeling as i went through the games that it would be a night not many people expect. I posted a rant a while back how there would be some odd results from time to time this time of the year (meaning after trade deadline), and that was exactly the type of night, i remember losing so much money over the years on nights like these.
You can’t really assume anything, before the games or even during the games, as the human element takes over. So my tip is, avoid most games where we have a team flying high facing off against a team out of playoff contention. Odds are always poor and the risk is not worth it.
That being said, Boston is a must bet tonight. Sometimes too much is too much and even though the Canes will make it interesting, you have Rask who can bail the B’s out if need be, and their offense is flat out flying right now. If Carolina wasn’t without Faulk, then maybe they’d have a chance for OT, but like i said, too much is too much. High stake on Boston ML is the better bet vs regulation win IMO, but if you don’t have a carefully planned bank roll then go with the reg. win.
Detroit will most likely win, but they could go through the same stuff the Sens have gone through lately (you have no idea how pissed off im at them, how they let the win slip away vs Dallas and how they lost the lead 0.2 seconds before the end vs Hurricanes, as both games had great value for Ottawa). Odds are simply not worth it here, as the Wings have struggled to put up a solid 60 mins lately. And to be honest i think Blashill just doesn’t have the team fully behind him, as they have somewhat underperformed all season long. Interesting to see how they respond now as they find themselves losing at the worst possible time.
Florida-Ottawa will be a great game. Despite the Sens fucking up the last 2 games they still believe and why wouldn’t they after that miracle run last year, especially now that Anderson comes back. Both of these teams want to get out of this funk and while Florida is the better team, i think Ottawa will respond nicely tonight. It’ll be a tight one and im going with OT, as i think the odds are worth it win or lose.
Buffalo has ridiculous odds tonight – 2.34 ML. They’ve been playing well lately and Montreal is depleted by injuries making the playing field even in my opinion. Lehner was a disappointment in the Rangers game, but he’s still better than Condon. Sabres won the last 2 meetings – and those were crucial games for Montreal. So maybe the Habs want revenge, but at the same time Buffalo has confidence against Montreal right now. Im taking my chances on those odds.
Im really tempted to go with the Oilers tonight. Colorado came away with the big win vs the Ducks, and the Wild has to feel like they absolutely must have this game. Oilers and Talbot have been playing pretty well lately, and Dubnyk is out for the Wild. There’s a good chance the Wild get kind of paralyzed here, as they could be banging their heads on a wall while McDavid and co. score a couple of goals. But in the end the Wild usually handle the Oilers, so i think im going to sit this one out, as i feel like anything could happen really.
San Jose is the heavy favorite obviously, but i still have that Preds game in the back of my mind. Odds are so low i can’t make myself play the Sharks and will happily sit this one out as well.
Im going for the grand salami under too for fun, and i think it has some decent value. I doubt we would see a lot of high scoring games tonight but if we do it’s always fun to see a lot of goals scored, so im not that mad if i lose this bet.
Good luck !
Yesterday was very unormal day.. 5 of 6 ended in OT :/ so i will try to win back something tonight.. I will place one good double combo or two. depending how sure i am 😛
I was thinking of
Boston win normal time + over 5 in Sabres match
Boston win + Sabres ML
which u think looks better? 😛 or do u have any other suggestion? I was thinking of San Jose too but with 1.60 odds in RT it is not worth it :/
I don’t agree with the over 5 on that game, but im not an expert on goal bets so don’t take my word for it ^^
Sabres ML probably adds a bit too much risk on that combo, it’s a good bet on it’s own in my opinion, but there’s also a decent chance it backfires and then your Bruins pick is wasted.
Today is not a very optimal day for combos, but if i had to make one i’d do Boston ML + Detroit ML for 2.25 combined odds.
Hey guys! first time posting here,have thow read your comments for a time now and i thought it would be time to share my opinion aboute the matches tonight. 🙂
Sharks-NJ
I would in quick thoughts put sharks to win imediatly, but NJ have a better scoarboard away and some earlier results is a 1 goal diferense so OT should be a possible bet here.
Summary 1X
Boston-Carolina
Carolina havent done more then 2 goals in a match against boston for in the 5 latest matches and with bostons latest summary i like what i see.
Summary 1 boston wins
Florida-Ottawa
Ottawa has a great away summary on goals and is also on a road, florida aint a high scoring team and has only 2,6 in snitt home when Ottawa has 3.6 away. if Ottawa has a great day they will do atleast 4 goals against florida. if not i think i can be a tight game and i migh consider to make it a 60% match.
Summary X2 (Ottawa wins)
Detroit-Winnipeg
A bit conserned aboute this game detroit aint playing on there highest potential right now and the earlier games against winnie aint looking good and specialy at home. My heart and guts wants to play on DET but Winnie might Win. i think i will pass this game but if i whould play i whould play for OT.
Summary X
Montreal-buffalo
When buffalo playes u get greays :p so unexpekted and offen comes with great odds. Montreal has a great home streak with 1 lose on 5 games but against buffalo the 2 lastest homegames are loose and only 1 win on 5 against buffalo. i trust the horde on this one and will spice the odds.
Summary 2 Buffalo Wins
Minnesota-Edmonton
My instinkt says MIN but the stats are conserning and Edmonton can catch fire from nowhere. but MIN have alot to play fore and its homegame they reely should win. i dont think its nesseserly to play OT here i dont think it will happend its either Homewin ore awaywin and i pick MIN here.
Summary 1 Minnesota wins.
Good luck and may the odds be with you 🙂
Welcome and thank you for your great comments. Just wanted to point out that both Sens and Cats are 1-4 in last 5, scoring well below their average at 2.2 GF. I like the under but no value. Hard to say who wins, could be an OT game
Fuck what the lion thinks … SJ 100% + my house
Don’t be so crazy to put lots of money on Sharks.
I think devils will win the game tonight so it must be very hard to say for you that sharks win %100
Good luck anyway ?
this should be interesting. i want to see some side bets
Lock
So I hope you didn’t go with your house
I use this site for my stats and analysis. Excellent stuff.
http://www.donbest.com/nhl/
Let me warn you about Bruins. I advise you to think twice ?
Screw u boston -_-