Written by Graeme & Scott on Friday, April 12th, 2019
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Business was mostly restored last night in the NHL playoffs, with two of the three favourites winning.
It was a clinical performance by the Capitals who forced Mrazek to make just 14 saves as they won 4-2. The Hurricanes, with a host of players making their playoff debuts, will be happy to get the jitters away and hope to contend more in the next game.
The Flames dominated the Avs and got a very impressive shutout which will give them a lot of confidence going forward. Mike Smith is a streaky goaltender and if this is going to be a hot streak – what a time for that.
The Leafs thrashed the Bruins 4-1 in a big win for them with Marner logging a double.
It’s Friday, April 12th and we’ve got four games on the board. Going forward, we will both be providing our individual game tips. Sometimes they’ll match, sometimes they’ll oppose, sometimes they’ll be completely different. We may throw in a couple of player props every now and again if we don’t like any of the main bets just to have SOME sort of action.
Let’s get to it and if there is anything we can do format wise to make life easier for you guys just let us know!
Blue Jackets vs Lightning Game 2 Betting Tips:
Scott: The Lightning were up 3-0 at home after the 1st so many people figured it was over and some even turned the game off. Well those people missed out on what was a crazy finish. The Blue Jackets came back and scored the next 4 goals unanswered and held on for the 4-3 win.
The Lightning can’t afford losing again. They were the best team in the league and have now lost home ice with that loss. They need to regroup and play the way they have during the regular season. The odds are bad here as the Lightning are heavily favored.
Instead ill go with a player prop and the player who lead the team and league in scoring this year. Kucherov was held pointless in game 1 and they will need more from him moving forward.
0.5u on Kucherov to have at least 2 points
Canada: 2.18 Odds at 888 Sports
USA: Check Bovada later in the day for their player props.
Everyone Else: 2.18 Odds at 888 Sports
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Graeme: I think overconfidence and complacency was a big issue for Tampa in the first game. I mean they did what was expected of them and then some early in the game. It’s easy to sit back at that point and it’s difficult to switch gears. Early leads can be so tough to protect.
I wasn’t surprised the Jackets won – I mentioned I was betting them to win game 1 – but I WAS surprised by how it happened. I thought they would ride the momentum but instead they crashed, then came back hard. That’s extremely impressive and something to be wary of.
So now the expectation is we see the REAL Tampa show up for the full game. Of course many of you have no doubt got bets involving Tampa so it will be a big question if you decide to double down. But you have to be wary. Overall that was generally an even game. To be honest I feel Jackets got slightly lucky and I do think a bet on Tampa to clean their clocks isn’t the worst.
I was going to go with the over on this one. But I think if Tampa Bay want to show everyone they are who everyone says they are, then this is the game they do it. And if they don’t? Then it’s a lesson learned and we can reassess. But for now I’m happy to put that game down to complacency.
1u on Lightning -1.5.
Canada: 2.10 Odds at GT Bets...
USA: +110 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 2.10 Odds at GT Bets...
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Penguins vs Islanders Game 2 Betting Tips:
Scott: Game one was amazing. It was a physical game that was tied 3 times and went to OT. This is going to be a great series. The Isles arent used to playing this style of game. They allowed the fewest goals in the league this year and if they are to win this series they will need to not allow the Pens to take as many shots as they did.
The Pens cant afford letting the series go 2-0 for the Isles. I think if they can push the pace like they did in game one then the Isles will lose as they aren’t used to playing at that tempo for consecutive games.
0.5u Pens win incl OT/SO
Canada: 1.85 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: -125 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 1.85 Odds at BetOnline..
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Graeme: When we did the series tips, I went with the Penguins. If anything I just felt their experience would be a big factor overall. And it likely will be. Game 1 is nothing – everyone is up for that. However I have to admit I forgot about Trotz. For some reason I really just didn’t factor his experience and ability in. So that’s going to make things interesting.
It was a great game and you just get the vibe that this series is going to be one of those series – completely action packed, overtimes, penalties etc etc.
Advanced metric wise, Penguins are the way to go. But I was impressed with the HDCF from both teams and I’m good backing the over, hoping that continues.
1u on Over 5.5 Goals.
Canada: 2.00 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: +100 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 2.00 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Blues vs Jets Game 2 Betting Tips:
Scott: The Blues hot play continued. The Jets scored first and held a 1-0 lead until early in the 3rd when the Blues tied it and scored the go ahead with about 3 minutes left for the 2-1 win. Binnington was incredible like he usually is.
The Jets cant afford going down 2-0 with the series moving to St Louis for the next two games. They need to find away to rattle Binnington and even the series. I expect a stronger effort from the Jets tonight.
1u on Jets win incl OT/SO
Canada: 1.83 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: -120 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 1.83 Odds at BetOnline..
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Graeme: Last season, the Jets were a big bounce back team. This season? Not so much – but they really need to be right here. This is a team that counted on home wins and to lose at home with a fairly weak display has to hurt.
The big concern for me is Binnington. Like Scott said – they need to rattle that guy as he is just going to gain confidence. They tried that early in the game with Scheifele but it didn’t help.
The Binnington factor really intrigues me. I don’t know if Jets can blow him up or not. I’ve spent awhile on this game and I just can’t decide. Even if they do get the goals they may try and play more conservative. I’ll go with a 0.5u on Under 5.5 Goals. A rare under bet and I can’t wait for it to blow up in my face.
Canada: 1.83 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: -120 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 1.83 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Golden Knights vs Sharks Game 2 Betting Tips:
Scott: Not sure what happened to the Knights. They looked bad in game one. They took only 5 shots per period over the first two and thats not going to cut it. The first goal of the game came off of the face of Joe Pavelski and the savage only missed a couple shifts before returning.
The Sharks were the better team by far in this one. I hope the Knights come better prepared for game 2. The usually solid Fleury gave up at least 4 goals for the 3rd straight game. They will need him back at his best to stop the Sharks from holding a huge 2-0 lead in the series.
0.5u Knights win incl OT/SO
Canada: 2.17 Odds at 888 Sports.
USA: +115 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 2.17 Odds at 888 Sports.
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
Graeme: I think the Sharks were the much more motivated team in Game 1. They were hyped, they were running on pure adrenaline the whole game and they lit the Knights up.
You see that a lot early on but it’s down the road where it really counts. Can they keep that level of energy up?
One other big concern is Fleury. The guy just isn’t playing good right now. We’ve got another goalie factor. Is he able to bring it tonight? I mean it wasn’t just him of course – the entire Knights team looked like they were sleeping.
Despite that there was a lot of goals. So I’m good to take the over tonight thinking we see the Sharks motivated to keep it going at home, while the Knights look to make up for their performance. Even if Fleury is in the zone tonight that probably won’t stop the game from going over.
0.5u on Over 6.5 Goals
Canada: 1.93 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: -110 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 1.93 Odds at BetOnline..
(Odds correct as of 2019/04/12 12:17:09 PM EST but are subject to change.)
