Written by Graeme on Saturday, April 13th, 2024
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No picks yesterday, which was a good thing. The Coyotes/Oilers over had peaked my interest, and if it was 6 I probably would have went with it. Thankfully it was 6.5 and I stayed away, and that game went under with 5.
Canes covered the handicap, and big wins for the Knights, Flames and Preds.
It’s the last Saturday of the regular season. And you know what? I’ve went through all these games, and absolutely nothing is standing out for me. I don’t even really see the point in writing anything.
If there’s a particular game you want me to dive into the metrics for and give an opinion, feel free to post in the comments below. But yeah I am hanging up the betting tips for the regular season.
What are your thoughts on the under in the Florida Buffalo game?
I expect a solid defensive effort by Florida and Buffalo not having anything in the tank or to play for to challenge them much.
I’m thinking a 2-0, 3-1 game.
Going to the Leafs game tonight! Hopefully get to see Matthews score #70! 😉
Looking at the metrics – offensive ones are a bit concerning over last 10. Decent CF & FF, GF/60 both over 3 and xGF/60 over 3. Sabres goaltending and xG bad. SCG stats decent. Man it’s a pity Florida have such a bad HDGF/60 as that could be a big factor for them in this game.
At an O/U of 5.5 I don’t like it. Looks like the kinda 4-2 Florida game by the metrics. I’d prefer the over myself.
Enjoy the game. Leafs/Wings games are always great
DISCLAIMER:
Don’t bet with real money on my opinions.
I’m a stupid better, who wastes tons of units to gain minimal profits.
Units now: +56.7 🥳
max combined units used to win a bet: 163
I have freed myself from the lose streak.Time for the next lose streak, right? 😅
Okay guys, my real target today is the Pittsburgh Boston match, but there is enough time to make another bet before this match. Guess who will win? I think my system knows it. 🧐
First I thought I take New York Islanders, but they don’t start with Varlamov. That’s not good. Hell no.
I take New York Rangers ML @ 1.55 with 1 unit
Told ya. 😆
DISCLAIMER:
Don’t bet with real money on my opinions.
I’m a stupid better, who wastes tons of units to gain minimal profits.
Units now: +57.25 🥳
max combined units used to win a bet: 163
Still enough time for another bet.
Maybe it’s because of Colorado’s home record, but I don’t know why the odd is so high. Winnipeg can do it, recently they beat Dallas while Colorado lost, head to head is fine, goalie is fine.
I take Winnipeg ML @ 2.25 with 1 unit
Well, 2nd period 7-0. I just mark this bet as won.
Even if they lose now, I will update stats accordingly. 😌 Let’s just pretend Winnipeg has already won.
DISCLAIMER:
Don’t bet with real money on my opinions.
I’m a stupid better, who wastes tons of units to gain minimal profits.
Units now: +58.5 🥳
max combined units used to win a bet: 163
I could philosophize a bit now. About how easy it is to make mistakes when your heart is set on a team and how a professional differs from emotional normies. Yes, I can feel it deep inside me. I’m always for Pittsburgh, I’d love to bet on Pittsburgh, but I’m not allowed to. I have to follow the data and if Pittsburgh wins in the end, I can be even more upset. But that’s the way it is. 🤮
I take Boston ML* @ 1.73 with 1 fucking unit.
Confidence level about ZERO, but these have some reason to them:
To WIN moneyline: Dallas and Florida
Leans only:
Over 5.0: Coloradie
to WIN moneyline: Boston and Nashville
Florida wins on the puckline
Dallas will want to be playoff-ready and Seattle isn’t showing potential against the good teams this year. Dallas then gets 3 days off before their final game, so rest won’t be an issue with them. They’re at home and should show up for this to keep things tuned up.
The Florida game has some risk as games are becoming meaningless for Florida, apart from the Division race, but they are showing commitment to playoff readiness, having shut out 3 of their last 4 opponents. Florida has won 9 of the last 10 in this matchup, and Buffalo is inconsistent. Probably a wipeout. A tiger vs a terrier.
Nashville will have playoff readiness in mind and though on Game 2 of a back-to-back, they had 2 days rest before that and go into a day off before playing Schittsburgh, so if they want any more points for SURE, today is the day. I don’t know if they do. Columbus has a lot of players out injured. Nash for the cash?
Boston gets Maroon on the ice, and Pittsburgh against the Bruins? If Boston shows up, and they should, they automatically win this.
Jets vs Avs, could go 2-1 or 5-3, so probably not touching it.
Hope you touched Jets vs Avs.
I really appreciate your post today. I think you are right about Boston. 😠