Written by Graeme on Monday, April 17th, 2017
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The first batch of Game 3s are done and we have two teams at 3-0. The St. Louis Blues and the Pittsburgh Penguins.
The Penguins and Blue Jackets had an incredible game yesterday which saw the Penguins win 5-4 in overtime. It looks like the playoffs are going to be over for the Jackets. Guentzel was the hero for the Penguins yesterday.
The Rangers continue to struggle at home with a 3-1 loss to the Canadiens. Although it was more due to a tremendous performance by the Habs who put in a playoff level quality performance.
The Oilers came to San Jose and put in a terrific performance to win 1-0 despite the return of Thornton. It’s good to see McLellan not being afraid of shuffling lines throughout the game and that worked out well for them.
It’s Monday, April 17th and the other 4 series matchups will do their Game 3s tonight. A lot of interesting games and the Leafs game should be really good.
Scott’s still on vacation and doesn’t have time for write-ups. Apparently he has to go swimming with dolphins soon. Tough life! He sent me the following:
I like hawks to Win as they obviously have to. Can’t lose both in Chicago and expect any success.
Sens Bruins seems tough but id go Bruins.
Caps Leafs I say over 5. I’d like Leafs to win as they’re in Toronto but needed 3 OT periods so far I’m thinking fatigue sets in which leads to defensive mistakes.
Ducks flames. I still like ducks to win series but flames will win at least one game so it should be this one at home
Senators vs Bruins Game 3 Betting Tips:
Graeme: These two have had very close games so far and go to Boston with the score at 1-1. Senators ended the season with a rather poor road trip but their overall road record is solid. This is a tricky one. The Bruins price is poor so it’d have to be in regulation. I’ll be honest I’m not fully convinced – but after yammering on for the last few weeks about the Bruins looking like a playoff team – a playoff team wins Game 3 at home in a convincing fashion. So if that’s what they are – they’ll do it here. Bruins in Regulation
Capitals vs Maple Leafs Game 3 Betting Tips:
Graeme: Despite two terrific performances by the Leafs, the Capitals go into this one as the favourites. You know – in that first game, the Leafs had an incredible 1st period. However they then got even better by Game 2 and that pressure and momentum was kept up throughout the entire game – even in overtime.
I just don’t see how we don’t bet the Leafs here. They’re an incredible price and that Game 2 performance was absolutely amazing. I could list lots of reasons as to why not to bet the Leafs tonight. However I’ve watched every second of the series thus far and based on the performances, I’m happy having my money on the team that’s 2.35. Leafs to win.
Blackhawks vs Predators Game 3 Betting Tips:
Graeme: I declined to bet on the last one as I wasn’t convinced on the Hawks. Boy was that the right move as the Predators absolutely crushed them. I’m not fully convinced again, but the Predators are around 1.90 odds. Look at the last two performances. Look at their home record. Mathematically it just makes sense to go with Preds to win.
Ducks vs Flames Game 3 Betting Tips:
Graeme: Ducks go into this one up 2-0 although the Flames were extremely unlucky in that second game. One of those games where the bounces don’t just go their way – but they go in the opposite direction as the Ducks had everything going right for them.
Ducks were barely above .500 on the road while the Flames were decent enough at home. I always wonder about how things like the Oilers success may affect things – if last nights win will drive the Flames on even more.
I think when you look at the stats etc that the Flames should take this one and the price is right. However I’ve just got a strong feeling that the Ducks pull off an upset and I’m going to take no bet.
calgary, boston, chicago
Leans to win: Toronto and Nashville
Leans for Under: Nashville
From here on in the playoffs, passion means more than skill and stats. Chicago not only lost, but hasn’t scored a goal yet. That’s not bad, it’s worse, it’s dysfunctional and amateurish. Toronto has provided dominance and edge, only trailing for a few minutes across two games. This Wash-Toronto series could be the best games of the playoffs to watch. I saw loads of confidence, resolve, assertiveness, speed and passion in Toronto’s play. They broke formation to maximize offensive opportunities, something only the teams bent on winning emerge to do.
Blackhawks-Preds over 5 – You won’t see the Hawks get shutout again. They may lose the series but they will bounce back from that humiliation. All season long we never knew which Hawks team would show up–sometimes they didn’t show up at all and other nights they came out on fire. Tonight they score at least two goals and so do the Preds.
Caps-TML over 5.5 – too much firepower on both teams to see a low scoring game and I agree with Graeme that heavy legs will lead to turnovers and odd man rushes. I also like TML to win in front of their fans at the Air Canada Centre which will be rocking tonight.
Ducks ML – Ducks smell blood and the Flames don’t have the depth to match up. Ducks must think they have a good shot of being in the conference finals and moving on from there so they will be very motivated to put another nail in the overmatched Flames coffin.
I have no effing idea what will happen in the Sens-Bruins game. Love to see the Bs win but their defense is in a world of trouble: out of six D, two were healthy scratches a month ago, one is a career AHLer and another is a college sophomore who was playing in the NCAA less than a month ago. Of the other two, one is a 40 year old and the other is a bottom pairing guy. Things could get ugly in the Bs end.
GLTA
Boston, Chicago, Calgary all in reg
Leafs ML @ 2.29 & small shot in reg. @ 3.02
Hawks 1P ML @1.95
GLTA
Double up on Hawks!
Guys, they have to win this game all the way and if so, they will take the lead soon, where Preds are weaker!
I was expecting more from Hawks since they have to win. Happy to have my money back even considering they could be leading after this 1P if not that great lucky save by Pekka. Preds are too strong in the 2P and this was the reason of my bet type. They are also controlling the ice so I see Hawks in troubles if they do not improve their performance.
What about Leafs? Amazing performance by all! Andersen was huge in the 2P!
Sens was a value bet since I saw a 50/50 game and in this kind of situtation you can’t waste a 2.40 odd!
Adding: Sens ML @ 2.40
Ok. Caps are controlling the ice…
I should have spoken sooner!!!
Whats up!? playoffs are always tough, but here we are.
Sens/Bruins – Over 5
Caps/Leafs – Over 5.5
Hawks – ML
Good Luck guys!
Like Senators, Leafs and Ducks.
Also like Eaves to score.
Go leafs go!
Only pick today is Nashville -1.5 @ +250
They have been strong away, let’s see what home ice does for the preds.
What a first week to the playoffs. A lot of interesting results and some shocking ones as well. I’ve had a tough time predicting and part of that is adjusting to the playoffs, if you think something is going to work you just have to put in faith. Last night was a perfect example, i had all Blues in reg, Pens-Jackets OT and Habs in reg that i liked prior to the games, but couldn’t shake the feeling of “is that really going to happen?” and then finding a way to talk my way out of it. Then all 3 happened lol. Pissed off i threw a big bet on the Oilers thinking Talbot was going to come up big and thank god it worked out.
Anyway, it’s nice to get back in the groove.
Tonight i like Hawks ML and Flames in reg. Both fairly priced IMO. It’s make or break for the Hawks and a game they pretty much win 100% of the time – at least they’ve used to win in the past. If they lose tonight you have to wonder if all those kids ended up being a negative thing.
Flames have played well and because of shotting themselves in the foot + bad luck they’re down 2-0. Not because they’ve been outplayed. You have to think they can win this one at home.
I also feel like both Bruins and Leafs are in a good spot – but something bothers me about both picks, probably because at the end of the day i think both the Caps and Sens are better teams (as long as Carlo and Krug remain out) and have the ability to shut down their opponents playing a simple road game. Not the most pretty way to win, but effective on the scoreboard. Odds don’t do the Caps justice, but i think there’s some value in Sens. Probably throwing a small bet there.
GL !
So.. i ended up betting on the Caps, Sens in reg, Hawks and Flames in reg
All had 2 or 3 goal leads, all lost. FML lol
for a nice change, I went 5-0-1
Blackhawks-Preds over 5 – push
Caps-TML over 5.5 – win
TML ML – win
Ducks ML – win
Sens ML – win (didn’t tip it, but I bet it)
Sens TT o2.5 – win.
You won’t see me do this very often so I have to crow about it 🙂
Guys please explain what reg means?
It means in regulation time. So that team has to win prior to overtime. Overtime = loss.
Thank you so much <3