April 19th, 2016 NHL Betting Tips

Red Wings and Blues in regulation, Penguins to win.
Also i like Ducks in regulation, but i’m a Ducks fun so…:)

2-1 last night (+final minute under 4.5 bet on the Kings-Sharks game). So, great start to the playoffs continue, now total of +30 units in 6 days which is crazy ! 🙂

Stars came away with the loss, but i did say i was going to back the Wild in that game if they hadn’t lost 7 games in a row, most of the time i don’t like to think regular season matters much in the playoffs but i thought it would there. They showed life in a remarkable way though, my friend who is a diehard Wild fan told me that the game is far from over when the Stars had a 2-0 lead, i didn’t believe him considering Minnesota’s scoring struggles, but what do you know they came through in a big way. Im glad that series is far from over, too many people thought the Stars would sweep them but the Wild is always a gutsy team come playoff time.

Going to go a bit more in depth with the analyses tonight, as i feel like it’s a good time to do that.

RED WINGS TO WIN @ 1.81 / -123 Pinnacle Sports

5 units

This series was such a mystery to me from the get-go. And most of the question marks were on the Red Wings. One question i asked myself was: despite Stamkos and Stralman out, is Tampa’s roster still as good as Detroit’s ? So many guys have taken a big step back on that Red Wings roster this year. Zetterberg and Kronwall are clearly declining heavily, Green hasn’t been the player they expected him to be, Tatar & Nyquist have taken somewhat of a step back etc. Second question was, how much did the last two crucial games of the regular season that they lost affect their morale ? All season long the Wings have had troubles executing plays, scoring goals, making that big defensive play when they clearly have every chance to win the game (because they still have a good team). All of this didn’t go away even when they were winning and when they lost games they had a tough time regaining their confidence.

I’ve got my answers now. Yes, the Wings are a bit better team as far as raw roster goes. And yes, that regular season ending affected their play in the first 2 games. Tampa managed to use their momentum & home crowd to win those first two games which is what usually happens when a team is struggling. But despite all of this the Wings still outshot Tampa in both games and battled back from early deficits, on the road no less. Game 3 it took ~30 minutes to get that monkey off of their back, but Tampa had literally ZERO chance to win that game. Part of the blame can be put on surprising complacency on Tampa’s part which they just can’t afford to show at all when Stamkos and Stralman are out. They let Detroit to come back in the series, and now it’s a whole different animal.

So, i expect Tampa to battle harder tonight, but i also expect the floodgates to open (in some extent at least) for the Red Wings. They got that much needed win and monkey off their back. Mrazek is in a good spot to show why he was a top 3 goalie (IMO) in the first half of the regular season. Red Wings have the roster to outmuscle Tampa on the scoreboard, they have the goaltending, they don’t want to drop down 3-1 in the series so im also expecting them to work really hard tonight in front of their fans. All this combined seems like a winning recipe to me. This game just screams multi point night (or at least a goal) for Datsyuk who has gone 3 games without a point.

PENGUINS-RANGERS OT @ 4.00 / +300 William Hill

1 unit

RANGERS TO WIN @ 2.00 / +100 Pinnacle Sports

2 units

I can’t quite explain why i think this game goes to OT. Basically, it’s based on my own system. If i were to explain my system fully, this would be waaaaaay too long of a post (not that it isn’t already lol). But i can say this, it’s showed a total of 2 OT’s so far this post-season, Isles-Panthers game 3 and last night’s Sharks-Kings. So i have confidence in it.

Anyways, im only betting 1 unit here. Reason is i think the stage is set for Lundqvist to steal a game here and i can’t shake this feeling off. But i can’t argue with the top odds William Hill is offering. Whenever my system says OT and i get those kind of odds i just have to go for it. But as i mentioned there’s always a chance goalies mess things up and the goalie situation is iffy to say the least with these two teams at the moment.

I would probably recommend not taking my tip on this one, but posted it regardless.

At this point though, i realized why not go for the Rangers win ? I like their chances to win in OT if the game indeed goes that far, and if it doesn’t i like Lundqvist to be a big part of that. So it’s all Rangers in my mind.

DUCKS-PREDATORS OT @ 3.90 / +290 William Hill

2 units

This series has been a reflection of the Sharks-Kings series. I like it to continue, and OT makes so much sense here. Not much else to it really.

Finally, i do think the Hawks probably win but like S&G said no point in going for them with the odds available, especially when im backing the Blues to win the series.

Good luck guys !!!