Written by Graeme on Thursday, December 1st, 2016
Follow @BetNHL
Well we were 26.6 seconds from a huge night last night.
After going down 3-0, the Penguins had a big 3rd period tying it up 3-3. 26.6 seconds were left on the clock with it going to overtime and giving us a big 4.00 win. And then Anders Lee scored.
That was gutting as it would have been a great end to the month and put us in the black for the season. Absolutely crushing goal. Thankfully it was a 1-1 night for a tiny profit with the Flames picking up an easy win over the Leafs.
But man – that one really stung.
Something funny about that game I forgot to mention yesterday – I was reading the Penguins media before the game and they were all talking about how nice it was to have the 3 day break, and how they’re all rested and invigorated etc because of it. On the surface you might think “Damn I gotta take the fresh Penguins” due to that – then you look at their last 3 day break and yeah they came out of it and got thumped 7-1 by the Capitals. Sometimes rest isn’t a good thing.
Alright onto tonight and we’ve got a busy night in the NHL with 12 games on the card. Some good games for tonight. Islanders will hope their momentum continues as they visit Washington, while the crashing Oilers hope to turn things around in Winnipeg. Rangers take on Buffalo and the Stars will hope to stop their losing run in Pittsburgh.
Let’s get to it:
Rangers vs Sabres Betting Tips:
This is one of those nice bets where you don’t have to put too much thought into it. Last couple of games between the teams have been high scoring. Eichel is back for the Sabres and they look to be playing an all offensive game taking on the Rangers, who are the highest scoring team in the league.
The line for this one slightly concerns me as it’s at 5 – I thought it would be at 5.5. Always worries me that the bookies know something I don’t. However I’m almost tempted to move the line to 5.5 for better odds. I’ll stick with just the Over 5 though as the Rangers have had a few tight games lately and who knows if that Sabres goalscoring against the Sens was a fluke.
Over 5 Goals incl OT/SO
Canada: 1.80 Odds at Sports Interaction + $20 Free Bet.
USA: -130 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.76 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
Red Wings vs Panthers Betting Tips:
I’m not fully convinced on this one – the Wings are hard to back this season – but I like the odds enough to justify this one. There’s just too many ticks in the “pro” column to ignore.
The Panthers are changing things around. It’ll take a bit to get used to that. Mrazek is coming in hot after that Stars result. I’ve liked the Red Wings at home this season. They’ve lost a fair amount of course but it’s mostly tight games. I think it’s a good time for the Wings to take advantage of a changing Panthers team.
Red Wings to win incl OT/SO
Canada: 2.01 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: -105 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.01 Odds at BetOnline..
Mathematical/Experimental Betting Systems:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. Previous Records: 1st Period System 30-36 (+15.99u), OHL 28-15 (+17.15u)
1st Period System (5-14, -3.75u): Chicago Blackhawks 2.70, Arizona Coyotes 3.35, Detroit Red Wings 3.10, Columbus Blue Jackets 2.75, Philadelphia Flyers 3.00.
OHL Betting Tips(6-8, -2.1u): Peterborough Petes in regulation at 1.85.
1st Period Betting:
Canadians: Sports Interaction, Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv & 888 Sports.
Americans: BetOnline. or Bovada.
Everyone Else: Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv or 888 Sports.
OHL, WHL & AHL Betting:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Great night for me last night. 3 from 3 and +22.5 units.
Hope tonight be the same. So… Sabres, Bruins, Jets and Coyotes.
One unit on each and one unit on combo.
Let’s do this :p
How much did you win last night? must have been a paying night:p
Tonight picks,
Penguins win %100′
Capitals win %100
Kings win %100
Ducks win %100
Good luck everyone
Not sure about them ducks.
all ML?
no more reg for me yes. Caps are just frustration!
Capitals in Regulation
Oilers ML
Blue Jackets in Regulation
Rangers/Sabres O5
Against an Isles with 1-9 SU when playing away,I think it is valuable to bet with a handicap despite the Capitals have a low winning record by more than 1 difference.
Perhaps, but the last 4 times they played each other, the game was decided by 1 goal, and the over/under record is 1-5-1 in their last 7 games. A lot of low scoring close games, but I still like the Caps to win in regulation here.
These are the stats that supports your decision 🙂 Before that you have scores by more than 1 difference. The odd is too low to bet in regulation. It is just a different approach. GL!
don’t forget to post @ patreon
I like the Penguins to win tonight. They’ll be looking for a bounce back game at home and will be mad about losing to the Islanders last night.
I’m surprised you guys are tipping the Wings, I think by season’s end they are one of the 5 worst teams in the league and are usually a good fade. Especially in a spot against a team fighting for its life right now in Florida
The wings are playing at home not away
Yes I know.
Looks like the opposite the way u explained but yes looks like a coin toss this match
It’s the context you’re not understanding. When you say something like “They played a great team last night in the Habs”. That’s how it’s being said there
The Panthers barely won. Wings won’t be one of the 5 worst teams. They are banged up at the moment which will eventually go away
That roster is not strong at all. They won’t finish above 14th in the East
How do you guys feel about Rangers ML, Blues ML, and Anaheim ML’s
Tampa will probably come back in this match against Blues! I am attempted to bet on Tampa and Flyers.
If Tampa still has all those injuries I would probably back the blues . Only if it’s Steve maybe a good value bet there
Lets see…
Thinking the best way to go is a Rangers ML, Caps in regulation, Cowboys parlay
I like the over in Rangers vs Sabres and Caps with handicap.
Sabres are notorious for low scoring games there is no way I want to touch the total. Rangers are flat out better and will be motivated to win after struggling over the past while.
I hate betting handicaps, in today’s NHL every game is seemingly so close and there aren’t very big divides between teams
You’re probably not referring to me … But here is my feeling.
I like the Rangers. Blues look good based on the odds. TB @ +115 looks like a trap line to me so I would go Blues. Canucks have been playing well lately and are too much of a wild card for me to play the Ducks, but one would think they SHOULD win.
I’m talking to everyone who has thoughts buddy so your take is of interest to me for sure.
What do you mean exactly by the Tampa line looking like a trap?
I need a win tonight so I’m leaning towards parlaying the following 3 picks…
Caps in regulation
Rangers ML
Cowboys
Thoughts?
The public is all over the Cowboys, sharp money has been coming in on the Vikings +3/3.5. Maybe the public is right though. Cowboy have been great ATS.
Taking the Cowboys on an alternate spread of -2.5 because I don’t like the hook in this spot. But I don’t see the Vikings who can’t throw a pass downfield winning this game. I feel really strong about this pick and Caps in regulation. I need a third to put $25 on a 3 way parlay. What should i go with? Rangers ML is starting to scare me a bit. Other thoughts were Panthers ML, Blues ML, or Ducks ML
Personally I like the Blue Jackets, but of those three probably the Ducks, but that’s not a game I’m playing tonight. Don’t forget, Minnesota has one of the best home field advantages in the league (maybe tied or slightly lower than Seattle) Basically a +3 line means they expect the Cowboys to be 6-7 pts better. Vikings defense is still solid. Should be a fun game.
Do Pens finally bounce back and put away the Stars easily?
Speaking of shootouts, I don’t know about the side in that game, but my model likes the over. Almost an official play for me.
I don’t remember a card where I such little feel for in the NHL. Honestly after Cowboys and Caps in regulation all I have are leans to the Panthers Rangers and Ducks
im going with the vikings for the upset and the end of the cowboys streak . I believe that the cowboys defense will struggle tonight but lets see… also believe in a high scoring game
I took Vikings +4, but I don’t see a shoot out. Low scoring home dog cover.
I ended up going Caps in regulation, Rangers ML, Pens ML, Cowboys -2.5. Look good?
Well, like I said I took the Vikings +4, but we could middle that. Honestly, the Rangers should win, especially if they start out strong, and don’t have to fight back, but Buffalo could be feeling good so that might be a close one, and I think the Dallas/Pitt game is going to be a shootout, but Pittsburgh is the better team so they should bounce back strong.
High scoring really? I see it going under. As a GB fan I know Minnesota well enough to say that their offense is trash
yap but its just my opinon I just took the vikings… the over is just a tought . lets see going to be at the bar 😀
im a little hard headed for the NHL , too many games and not many ideas that I feel with some confidence
Gonna check a little more but if Mike smith is in net I think the coyotes have a good shot later on tonight against the kings who are back to back . The plus odds make u want to bet xD
Agree a lot with the over 5
The wings bet looks risky and I do like the OHL pick
Why nobody dosent tip on Rangers? :/
ti si iz hrvaške
Da!
Ja sam iz slovenije
Dobro poznas NHL. Nam dobro ide stave na nasi kladionici.
Hurricanes ML ODD 2.55 1 unit
What about Avalanche?
Those damn bruins :/
This was really close! 🙂 30 seconds before finish Bruins score and then they won in shootout! Next time I have to place 2 units. :))
What do you guys think about Coyotes tonight? I see great value here since Smith has been confirmed
I was thinking value was good there but LA will be motivated after a home loss to their biggest rival. Feels like a stay away
> Sabres/Rangers | +5.0
> Capitals -1.5 HC
> Penguins/Stars | +5.5
> Maybe Blackhawks & Hurricanes (I think there is big value on the Canes – They’ve got odds areound 4 for a win in regulation)
Careful with the Hawks, Hall is back for the Devils tonight. Hawks have played well without Toews, but it hasn’t been easy.
Agree with you on Sabres-Rangers. I’m taking O5.5 for a little bit of extra value (@2,25).
Also play Red Wings ML (2,05) and your OHL pick.
Wanted to bet Caps in reg. but odd (1.70) too low and not fully convinced with handicap.
GL all
Flyers in reg.
I expect another good perform by Mason. Flyers are a powerfull team as they shot a lot and “Condon allowed five goals on 40 shots in the Senators’ loss to Nashville on November 17th”.
GL to everyone!
2016-12-01
Lion project 3/15 (NHL)
Great win yesterday on the CAL Flames 🙂 Which put me up at 36.90 kr total, tonight there is quite alot of dangerous matches and i was going for washington in the beginning as i felt that was the safest bet, but odds just to bad! Then looked at Chicago but i think Devils will break their losingstreak soon and i do not like to take that risk in this type of betting, so i ended up in Pennsylvania – Pittsburgh! And i believe Pittsburgh will bring it home tonight on home ice! =)
Pittsburgh Penguins ML (1.57)
Progress 10kr>18kr>36.90kr>57.98kr?
Yesterdays match got postponed so we are still at 2/15, not much to say here other than we’re going for another over match with the odds of 1.90!
Lion project 2/15 (NBA)
Orlando magic – Memphis Grizzlies Over 188.5
Progress 10kr>19kr>36.27kr>69.24kr?
SPREADSHEET (15 bet challenges) = http://www.betdog.eu/profile/Lawellys_Predictions
Bruins in regulation
Rangers ML
Caps-Islanders Over 5
Stars-Pens OT
Flyers in regulation
Oilers-Jets OT
Devils-Blackhawks OT
Avalanche ML
Coyotes in regulation
Canucks in regulation
GL 🙂
1/10… dissapointing :/
Yep it was the worst night of the season for me, these big rounds are always dangerous, because if you’re overconfident getting carried can happen very easily. But im kind of glad, i had tripled my bankroll this season before tonight so it was due. As the old saying goes, you always learn more from losses than wins.
Still can’t wrap my head around the Panthers OT winner. Wings gave the puck to Florida prior to the breakaway goal…why?
That was brutal. I wouldn’t have minded losing in regulation time – Panthers were the better team although the Wings had the better chances – but always a kicker when it comes like that. Especially after Luongo made that sick save just before the breakaway. Wings defense looked asleep all game.