Written by Graeme on Thursday, December 22nd, 2016
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The Oilers put their Coyotes hoodoo to bed last night with a 3-2 win in a tight game. Getting that early goal was good for them as it allowed them to relax more and take off the pressure.
In the other game of the night, the Capitals and Flyers went to a shootout where the Flyers ended their losing streak at 2 with a win. Steve Mason stepped up big for the Flyers in that one and had a huge save just at the end of overtime to keep the Capitals at bay.
With two nights left before the brief Christmas break, we’ve got very busy schedules on the NHL.
With only two games yesterday I spent a lot of time analyzing our plays for the season so far – seeing where we’ve made the wrong picks, or games where we should have picked but haven’t etc. I’m feeling quite happy looking at things and where we’d went wrong. A lot of high value plays that didn’t pan out that we’re going to gravitate away from. A few picks that were just plain wrong too – where one of us really liked something and looking back at it, we’d use the stats to justify the bet. That’s a mistake I think we can put down to over confidence after the past few years and one we’re looking to rectify.
There’s also the possibility that we’ll post picks a bit later in the day sometimes. We try and have them up by 11am-12pm EST at the latest to accomodate the European followers we have(and that’s a LOT of people) but there may be days, such as today, where there’s a full slate of games and a lot of potential picks and along with discussing it we like to mull it over.
Feeling good after looking at all that, and that we’re going to have a good 2017.
Funilly enough we’ve not had a winning December YET with the tips since we started this. I think we’re both eating too many candy canes this time of year or something.
Let’s get to it tonight and try and go into Christmas on a winning run.
Wild vs Canadiens Betting Tips:
With Price, and likely Dubnyuk in net, we may be crazy with this one but we’re going to be going with Over 5 Goals.
Both teams goalies and defenses are tremendous this season. However both their offenses are coming in on a roll too. Only 1 shutout recorded by either team in December which was the Wild against the Avs a couple of nights ago.
The tight goaltending generally allows for a more open offensive game and we like this one to at least hit the 5 line if not go over.
Over 5 Goals incl OT/SO
Canada: 2.00 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.00 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
Ducks vs Senators Betting Tips:
This was one we spent a lot of time over but we’re going to go with the inconsistent Anaheim Ducks to win. It can be hard to count on the Ducks and we know they’re going up against the Sens at home however we like the way these teams match up. The Ducks have the best offense of the two and their defenses are similar. Ducks showed how they matched up well against them last time out and the Habs gave the Ducks a nice reality check in their last game. We like the Ducks to get a repeat victory over the Sens.
Ducks to win incl OT/SO
Canada: 1.95 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.95 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
(Note: This line has dropped to around 1.80 since this morning. I’m not confident it’s playable at those odds).
Lightning vs Blues Betting Tips:
This was one we debated all day and finally decided on the Over 5. These two teams it can be hard to count on either this season as they’ve had a lot of sloppy games and poor play. However that all combined last time out for the Blues to win 5-4 in St. Louis and we’re hoping for a repeat result here.
The Tampa offense looks to be rolling again and even when they’re getting thumped their offense has the ability to score. The Blues are without Stastny which doesn’t benefit us but Bishop is out for Tampa. Vasilevskiy is fairly solid but Tampa have been hesitant to play him a lot and he got absolutely hammered by the Canucks and Pens.
There are a few concerns with injuries overall but we still like this one to go Over 5 Goals incl OT/SO.
Canada: 1.74 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.74 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
The Habs stepped up big defensively after Price was pulled and gave them a death stare against the Sharks. The price is right though, so I might try the over, as well as the Habs victory (not sure if ml or regulation).
I am thinking about the Pens ending the Blue Jackets’ streak, and maybe going against the Flyers as well, but I’ll wait until the goalies are confirmed.
Jรณ lรกtni itt magyarokat!
Az egyetlen ilyen tipusu oldal, amit napi szinten kovetek. Erdekes emberek, jo otletek es meglatasok. A szerkeszto sracokkal is tobbszor valtottam emaileket, nagyon segitokeszek ok is, remek oldal. ๐
NHL-el kapcsolatban nem talรกltam ennรฉl jobb oldalt, messze a legjobb. ๐
รs ahogy lรกtom, Te is elรฉggรฉ รฉrtesz hozzรก.
Vannak elkepzeleseim, de megmaradok hobbifogadonak es szurkolonak.
Mรกra รฉn egyedรผl az overt lรกtom jรณnak a Montreal meccsen, de ahogy lรกtom, te is รญgy gondolod.
A Bruins meccsrลl mit gondolsz?
Ha puskat tartananak a fejemhez, azt mondanam, hogy Bruins meccsgyoztes, de ott semmit sem erzek. Sem az o/u sem a gyoztest.
Azรฉrt kรฉrdeztem, mert รฉn sem รฉrtem, miรฉrt mondjรกk itt tรถbben a Bruinst jรณ tippnek..
A Nashville meccsrลl nem รญr senki semmit; nekem az jรณnak tลฑnik HD-be.
Habs -> Last 13 games at home: 7 OVERS, 3x PUSH, 3 UNDERS | Wild -> Last 10 away games: 4 OVERS, 4x PUSH, 2 UNDERS
So you also like the OVER pick?
Stats aren’t looking bad, yeah. But I’m not sure about the OVER today!
We can get around 1.8 for 4.5o in reg. There are pros and cons about it. Lower odd, and you are screwed at 2-2 (which I could see this game going), but you win with five in regulation, while the 5o incl. OT is just a push in that case. I have played the 4.5o for many games that had the line at 5, but I am still not sure if that is something that will positively affect my bankroll.
Sabres, Avalanche, Penguins and Devils.
Hit a 1st period play the last two days. Going to try and extend that to 3.
Bruins / Panthers DRAW 1P (2.40)
My first thoughts (like every day I could edit this post):
> Flyers to win!? Odds around 2 are looking pretty good
> Bruins to win – Bounce back on the road?! Reimer in net for FLA
> Tampa/Blues OVER 5.0 – Talented offensives & both “like” goals against them
> Avs to win – The Leafs don’t convinced on the road. Chances for the Avs are much better than these odds
> Canucks/Jets OVER 5.5?
I can’t see why Flyers don’t win this game like 7-4. I have same thoughts on Bruins and the TB/StL over. Pasternak good to go for BOS. Abs and Leafs are two squads I just cannot trust. GL!
JH – agree on Flyers and Avs. you might be right about Tampa and Blues over but the line on my site is -150. With current post total of 6.5 on Pens/CBJ would you still bet the over? As a Bs fan I have no confidence in them. In fact, I’m fading them.
Which site do you use? I think I’ll never bet on a OVER 6.5 ^^ With these goalies this line is too high IMO.
I’m using a bookie site, it’s invite only
I saw 6.5 at Bet365 and the other mainstream books a few minutes before the game begun so it was all over the place. We were debating the Over 5.5 all morning but couldn’t go with it. Looks like based on the money anyway we were wrong not to. Maybe everyone is expecting another Pens blowout. We couldn’t see that due to the way Jackets play and also couldn’t go with over due to Atkinson being out. He’s been such an asset to them recently.
BOS ML 100%
ANA ML 100%
TB/StL Over – Allen hasn’t been too good on the road.
PITT ML – I wanna take the Pens so badly but it is so hard to bet against Columbus. Atkinson ruled out for BJs. Not sure I can pull the trigger on this one. Someone please help convince me
Pens are a team who get motivated by a dominant win. After a win by 2 goals or more they are 7-3. This may be a match-up of the two best teams in the league, at this time. Even without Atkinson (fellow alum of Avon Old Farms hockey!) CBJ are formidable. Torts has done a great job with this young team and goalie Bob has been fantastic. Tough to pick a side, but I bet there are at least 6 goals scored.
I noticed the market steam to the over and is up to 6.5 in some shops. Incredible.
6.5 on my site. I think I’m taking under for low units
Hi all from Finland. OT on every game tonight ๐
Leafs ML
Ducks ML
Canadiens ML , Under 5 also but the under is risky
Under 6 Regulation Time , columbus and penguins
Over 5 blues – bolts (with over 4.5 totals and 3.5 totals if they reach odd 2 or better live)
I’m all over Flyers at +110. Can’t understand why the Devils aren’t home dogs.
Taking Avs ML and Avs total goals 2.5+ – Avs beat TML on the road 3-1 so they’ll have confidence going into tonight’s game. They want to put skids on the losing and will push hard in front of their own fans. TML look awful:
in a road game where where the total is 5.5 – 3-10
Dec 2-6
non-conference games 4-11
Have you seen the Av’s home record? And I’m not sure where the total is set and the likelihood a team wins are highly correlated stats.
Yes, they are both awful teams. My decision isn’t based on stats, more an emotional play
Pens ML – I think they are more talented and playing great hockey. Looks like Atkinson is out and with 14 g and 19 a that’s a lot of offense missing from CBJ line-up. It’ll be a great game regardless of who wins.
Currently on a 5-0 streak for Thursdays Night Football. I grabbed the Eagles at +3. Looks like the line is moving towards a pick em though. I think they win outright tonight.
my site has them at -1 now
The Eagles are -1 now?
on my site, not sure where they are elsewhere
Still +3 on mine. That’s a huge difference
now a pk on my site. take the +3!!!
Anyone else think Wild will win tonight? Habs still have a lot of injuries and the Wild have been playing great Hockey, they have such a frustrating team to play against and with the Habs offence lacking, I feel this will be another game where the Wild wins by a small margin.
Habs all day
Why’s that?
Wild aren’t the same team on the road and the Habs have found their stride again. Both teams have been playing quite well but Montreal will be hungry for a W considering they have to play CBJ on the road tomorrow night. The East is also stronger than the West and that gives me added confidence in the Habs at home tonight
I mean it’s true that the Habs are an extremely good team and shouldn’t be underestimated, will be a good game regardless, I’ll probably stay away.
Other Picks I’m interested in are Kings (ML) and Pens (ML) got any picks for today?
My two most confident picks are the Leafs and Habs ML. I also wouldn’t talk you out of Pens ML. Kings/Preds are too teams that have been soooo inconsistent that’s a stay away for me.
I am a little biased when it comes to the Habs I’ll admit, my cousin is Gallagher. However I’m also pretty objective when it comes to these things and the Habs are a pretty trustworthy team. And you can get them at a good price tonight
I agree with Leafs, I might take Habs just because I dislike betting against them anyway, they are usually on another level when playing at home, my main reasoning for Kings was because Preds haven’t been amazing lately while even in losses the Kings have played well, Preds should be without PK Subban too.
Yeah Leafs and Habs are my two favourite’s by far. I like your reasoning with the Kings, I think they are a better hockey team when healthy. Quick is a big loss though and they haven’t been good on the road where as Nashville has flourished at home. That’s a tough one.
knew my gut feeling was right ๐ sadly I took the habs in a parlay with 4 teams and 2 have won, the other is winning, looks like I should have went with the wild >.>
Yeah Price has been playing pretty poorly lately. Dubnyk totally outplayed him. I love the Habs obviously but I honestly think he is so overrated
He’s talked about so ridiculously, its not his fault hes so ovverated, its a result of the media. Don’t get me wrong, hes good but not the messiah that hes made out to be.
Buffalo Sabres – Carolina Hurricanes 5.5 alt diyorum ?
I’d stay away from that game, but I’d give slight edge to Canes, not sure about U/O
Hi , stupid question i know , but what do you guys mean when your picking say Wild ML ???? lol sorry
ML means the Money Line. So you’re betting the team to win with no handicap. As opposed to the puck line where there’s a handicap like Canadiens -1.5 or Wild +1.5. And generally when people say money line they’re including Overtime and a shootout.
nice , thank you !
ML = money line ๐
it’s a friendly site, no need to ever apologize for questions
I am taking Colorado Avalanche to win and over 5.5 goals @ 6 odds.
I will pick Flyers vs Devils over 5 LIVE around 2.00
GL to all!
Kings ML
Flyers ML