Written by Graeme on Sunday, December 22nd, 2024
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A 1-0 day yesterday. It was a bit of a sweat, but the Boston Bruins got the job done thankfully.
Nothing else I really liked yesterday. Jets I guess but the data didn’t back it up – they battered the Minnesita Wild as expected.
Thankfully I passed on the Leafs as they also got battered.
We’ve got a six-pack today so let’s get to it:
Rangers vs Hurricanes:
Rangers picked up that surprise win over the Dallas Stars on Friday – although based on recent results that won’t mean they will be turning things around. Canes though are still fairly iffy to me – not a team I feel comfortable backing on the road in regulation.
Data is tight – slightest of edges to the Canes but not enough to back at all.
Utah vs Ducks:
Utah have had a pretty darn solid month results wise. They come in here as such big favourites it would have to be a -1.5 play and I must admit – the data is actually quite close to it. The GF stats in particular. The only issue is Utahs xGF which is low and the SCGF/60. Combined with them only covering that 1 in their last 5 – eh, I’ll pass. Won’t be surprised if it comes in though. Dog play that has merit.
Lightning vs Panthers:
Yeah bookies have thisw as a coinflip and seems about right looking at the metrics. It’s all about whether the Tampa offense can continue convert at a higher rate than expected.
Capitals vs Kings:
Caps stronger in CF & FF over the last 10 but scoring less and conceding more. Slightly worse xGA too – yeah sadly not a play. I was hoping to back them after I missed out on the Canes one.
Oilers vs Senators:
Sens could ride the Oilers hard here and I wouldn’t be surprised if they won but just feels a tad too risky – don’t actually have the confidence in Ottawa.
Avalanche vs Kraken:
Would have to be Avs -1.5 and data doesn’t support it at all.
