Written by Graeme on Saturday, February 17th, 2018
Follow @BetNHL
It was a winning night with both our 0.5u play and our 1u play last night.
We had the Flyers to break their 11 game losing streak in Columbus that stretches back to 2005. They managed to do that winning 2-1 in a nervy overtime period.
We also had the Jets in regulation and they did the business, getting the big win that we expected as they dominated the Avs 6-1.
From a betting perspective I absolutely love the Jets this season. One of those teams that are always underpriced and not getting the respect they deserve in terms of the odds.
Quick note about live chat – some people had requested a live chat to discuss the games and live betting during the actual games.
I’ve been testing out various things over the last couple of weeks and no surprise the only real solution will be a paid solution. I’ve no problem paying it but I want to make sure people get use out of it at first.
So I’d like to encourage everyone to hang out the comments during the games today and tonight and post any live betting tips or thoughts that they have and start doing that for the next little while.
Once I see that there is a demand for it, I’ll get the actual chat room going. In the meantime Disqus is set up very well for live events and notifies you when there is new posts etc and automatically refreshes its DB.
Perfect day for it today with games going practically all day long.
If you’re not sure what live betting is… it’s also known as “in play” betting where you can bet during the game and the odds update based on the current result/stats and what’s happening on the ice.
So if you’re watching the Habs vs Knights tonight – the Knights are 1.42 to win the game currently – and the Habs get an early goal, the Knights odds will most likely change to something like 1.65 which will increase the longer the game stays that way etc.
If you know what you’re doing and are able to either read a game or just crunch the stats together, you can make a profit. Live betting is the way to go with 1/3 of action at sportsbooks like B365 and Sports Interaction being on live betting.
These are the recommended sportsbooks for live betting:
Canada: Sports Interaction or Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: Bovada.
Everyone Else: Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
I’ll try and be around for the afternoon games at least.
Let’s get to the tips with a 1u play and two 0.5u plays today.
Penguins vs Leafs Betting Tips:
Leafs are back in free flowing goal scoring mode. Penguins are in beast mode at home BUT it’s their offense doing the work with their defense and goalie still extremely poor. Leafs will want to keep this run going.
Only game this season between them was also in Pittsburgh where the Leafs came out 4-3 winners.
All signs point to another high scoring game.
Over 6 Goals incl OT/SO
Unit/Confidence Betting Tips:
(We are experimenting with adding unit/confidence to our betting tips. For more details see this post.)
Pens/leafs Over 6 is 1u.
Sabres: 0.5u. Kings have always struggled in Buffalo and with the teams performances lately this is a no brainer bet. Only reason it’s not 1u is Phaneuf might give the Kings the lift.
Capitals: 0.5u. Have to bet them based on the odds as much as it concerns me. Saw some positives from the Hawks last time out and these games are usually tight so can’t go the full hog on this one.
See you all for the live betting today. Remember:
Canada: Sports Interaction or Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: Bovada.
Everyone Else: Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
OHL / WHL / AHL / KHL Betting Tips:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. )
OHL Betting Tips (27-17, +8.77u): Barrie Colts in regulation at 1.85 odds.
AHL Betting Tips (32-31, -0.84u): 0.5u double of Toronto/LeHigh both in reg at 2.56 odds. Chicago Wolves in reg 1.80 odds.
OHL, WHL & AHL & KHL Betting:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
my bets for today:
Bruins reg
Lighting reg
caps ot
Wild ot
Early games:
Sabres, Ducks and Oilers with 1u;
Kane, Perry, Duchene and Lucic with 0.5u;
Sabres to score in first period 5u@1.76 odd.
I;m going on Lighting , Knights in Regulation.
I need your advice
Thank thank
Hey John, Jersey is starting Lack (dailyfaceoff) with a 4.53GA. Vasilevskiy is 2.30GA (not confirmed) and the backup Domingue is 3.40GA. You may want to wait till TB lists it’s starter. Last time Bolts started Domingue, they lost to Buffalo 5-3.
Vegas is 21-4-2 @home vs Habs 8-18-1 on the road. Price is 2.97GA/ Fleury 2.30GA; Vegas is 3.59GF/ Habs 2.19GF. The stats certainly favour Knights to win in Reg. GL!
A good night last night, with Jets, Flyers and Stars pulling in some cash. Canes unfortunately failed to even register a goal, despite having 44 shots to ruin my 6x return parlay :(. Ben Bishop was all the difference to get Stars the win, and it could have easily have been a blues win If not for Bishop.
Today’s picks-
Early games-
Sabres ML/Reg (60%/55%) – The Sabres are actually the best they’ve been all season, winning 3 of their last 5 against some strong opposition in the Bruins and Bolts. The Kings right now suck, having lost their last 3 and 7 of their last 10 on the road. The Sabres aren’t a team that comes to mind when you think domination, but they’ve dominated the Kings in Buffalo, having won every contest going back to 2004. With these odds I like Sabres as an underdog.
Wild Reg (65%) – As I said yesterday, a humiliated team is a dangerous team. The caps came to Minnesota and embarrassed the Wild, but the Wild have not lost 2 games in a row on home ice yet this season. This game will mean a lot to both sides. The Ducks trying to get into a playoff position and the Wild trying to cement theirs. The Wild will have a point to prove after their last game, and I think they’ll do it. Why? Because the Ducks just aren’t as good as they should be right now, winning just 4 of their last 11 road games. The Ducks beat the Hawks, but they struggled and could have lost. Considering how bad the hawks are playing right now, that says plenty about the Ducks. The Wild are a home fortress generally, whilst the Ducks are rather “meh” on the road. Wild will win this and win it in reg.
Sens ML/Reg (55%/50%) – Yes the Sens are bad, but they’re actually 4-1 in their last 5 at home, and the Rangers right now are worse. Plus the Rangers are as injured as could be. I just can’t take this rangers side right now.
Oilers ML (55%)- This is a gut pick more than anything. The Coyotes are playing much better recently, but have no registered 3 wins in a row at home yet this season. The Oilers came to town just last month and won 4-2. The Oilers have lost their last 4, and will be wanting to register a win just for pride. Considering the Oilers have won the last 5 meetings this is a good place for them to do it.
Later game pick details to come later below.
POTD Bruins Reg/PL
POTD VGK Reg/PL
Bolts Reg
Caps Reg
GL!
Note to self – stop giving Sabres more credit than they’re due.
Shit early picks by in large. Hopefully the later games cash me in!
Thanks G,
Yeah, live betting is a good option if you don’t want to commit to a particular bet before the game starts. Helps to watch a game (if your starting out) and watch how the odds change depending on the changes in the game.
Last days I played more OHL/WHL/AHL – nice profit 😉 favorites are doing their job there the most time. Today:
OHL -> Colts reg
AHL -> Marlies reg, Phantoms reg, Wolves reg
NHL -> Bolts reg, Knights reg, Preds reg, Caps ML
Jesus this is frustrating. I posted Wild to score next goal, and to take them to win whilst down 1-0. My internet keeps telling me I need to log back in, so even though I saw it posted it doesn’t seem to be here.
Anyway live bet –
Wild to score next goal (again)
Kings to score next goal (they seem to be on a rampage) .. RIP my Sabres pick.
Your first post with Wild to score next was on here. I liked the post, and played it as well. Thanks 🙂
Glad someone saw it ! 😀
$$$$
Thanks guys this site is getting better and better ?????
Oilers, Penguins, Panthers, Bruins and over 6 at Tampa-Devils with 1u;
Kessel, Connolly, Barkov and Bergeron with 0.35u.
Are someone using the first team to score wins bet? Often very god odds on those bets, and statistically it looks like first scorer wins.. Thoughts?
No don’t do it
Better to take who you think will score 1st and play them to win the 1st p. ML
Pp , bad bounce just not worth risk on first goal play
Both score at least you draw
Well, thats true! Thanks for the input 🙂
Hey Marius,
Some teams (like the Leafs) score 1st more than others.
However, one fortuitous bounce for the underdog and they could score 1st. IMO, winning this line is complete luck.
I live wager at least once a game card. It’s where the money is as you can get a feel of how the game and each team is playing.
Live wager forum is a great idea !! I’ll post some of my wins this weekend and show you how easy it is.
Win in reg: Vegas
OVER: Pittsburgh
I’ve decided against Nashville to win because between the two teams last 10 games, 14 out of 20 have gone to overtime or ended within one goal difference after regulation. Both teams too unpredictable to bother with in this matchup. The OVER is a strong lean in that game.
Let’s go again-
Wild to score next goal (4th goal)… cashed twice so let’s try it again.
Took it ), let’s see
Oops. ?
Ugh
Coyotes, Tampa -1.5, Vegas -1.5, Flames wins looking ok for me.
Wild being the Wild and giving up after going ahead?
Ducks ML @ 2.00
Worth a shot with 10 to go.
Well played!
Thanks man.
Oh well.
Wait – that’s weird. My betting app said “Minnesota Wild win 2-3 in penalties”, so I thought “fuck sake..” and placed 1u on Tampa+Vegas In Regulation.
Then, my app settles on a Ducks win seconds after NHL app confirms 3-2 on penalties in favour of Anaheim.
Still believe Anaheim are a team to watch for the second half of this year. I would like to suggest to Oliver and SDB for Ducks to be placed on the “follow” list.
Nope nope nope. Not until I see them win games consistently. They’ve not won more than 3 in a row once this season.
No ones interested about TBL scoring many goals against Devils with Eddie Lack being the starting goalie?
Thinking about TBL, Preds, LVGN and Bruins tonight. Reading and analyzing right now, didn’t bet anything yet. Will return and let u know.
I’m seeing Vegas / Tampa in Reg double @ 2.29
Considering their opponents, this could be a nice little play.
VGK face off against a poor Montreal side.
Tampa face a New Jersey team who won’t roll over but I expect to (eddie) lack the quality needed to beat Tampa.
Lack in net for Devils looks like Bolts+over would be nice play GL 🙂
Bolts win and over 5.5
you mean
yea but when i play over in NHL…. then only 6.5 🙂
Lack is like a wall tonight..
Lightning and Knights will be my tips tonight – 2u.
Niemi in net for Habs. Jesus Christ this has a potential to be a blood bath. Take Vegas TTO 3.5 and jump ALL OVER Vegas
Vegas 1-0.
Get in.
Live bet-
Gentleman, bet Vegas to score next goal, and to pretty much win every period. Honestly this is going to be a blood bath. Habs die today.
Nope nope nope.
1-1
I posted this at 1-1. Goals coming so quick it’s impossible lol
haha i know dude! im streaming live on Betfair.
I’m assuming your UK then too? I got my Betfair account blocked after I won a few grand off them in a few days. If you want a better stream- go to reddit nhl streams.
yep – Essex.
3-1
boom.
please someone tell me they did VGK next goal at 2-1…
Edit: Niemi pulled and Price now in net. Short evening for Niemi….
Blood bath. Literally take Vegas to win every period. This is a 9-1 /10-1 game.
literally no idea. id be surprised if Montreal came back into this.
Will that stop the bleeding though ?
Gents, get on Vegas live betting now. Take them to win every period too, Niemi has come to be destroyed.
Lol
9 3 final??
Maybe 7-2
amazing finally some good tips …cannot believe it Hagelin, Kunitz, Nosek, Bozak already done! now just Subban, Eller, and DeBrusk…. wooohoo GL to all…
Preds are a pretty solid team at coming back when trailing in the 1st period but the current odds on them are crap. Wings are probably an +EV bet at this stage.
I’m looking it over big time ! Wings own them in Nash. That’s only issue on play
Down 2-0. Are Preds doing their “we don’t care about this game” thing again?
Man,,, I think they win this period. I won’t touch it. Wings own predators. If I was way up this week I’d hit the Nash come back.
I’ve dropped Nashville as a team to follow, they’re just far too unpredictable right now. And odds suck on them so often.
Det 1st p ML BOOM +141 live wager post win if hits
Boooooom ?
We believe you mate lol. Don’t need to go to the effort of blurring that $1million out 😉
I think maybe we should post actual wager placed… You would have to have millions just to play all the posts or fake wagers on here lol
Pretty sure some of you are full of sh?t on wager winning
What’s with the hostility again? I just meant you must go to a lot of trouble screen capturing all the time….
lol. All good bud. Just an opinion. I guess I’m just amazed that all posts on what to do and all the winning posts. I guess I’m just at the point wondering how, in the hell you guys wager 10 12 plays a night??
I mean it’s great to post, I just question if all is actually making the wager or just posting. I have a million dollar, post account but my actual wager account lol , I’d be crazy to follow some of these run and gun hope for the best posts !
But whata I know
Well, I will personally admit that I don’t necessarily play every pick I post. My picks of the day certainly but not everything. I usually concentrate my bankroll on my favourite picks. I put picks up for the benefit of those wanting opinions on other games. That being said, some games I will play a wide variety of picks, but as student I don’t have a lot of spare cash so I play them small.
Live bet – Bolts to score the next goal (currently 4-2) don’t see bolts going down without a fight.
Cash me ousside how bout dat $$$. Just hoping for that 5-3 Bolts comeback lol.
Round 2- Bolts to score the next goal. (4-3 right now) . Bolts one of the best 3rd period teams. Comeback is on.
Vegas going to win this 7-2/8-2. Heard it here first.
Live bet- Bolts ML . Worth it for a small play being down one goal.
every time i play Bolts they are soo harmless cannot even use PP to score goal achh…. :/
Same here, tampa is the only bet lost every time i play them.. Guess this is the last time using them, lol
Didn’t expect this from Tampa..
F%#$ tampa
why can Vegas and Pitts win easily and i must go for Tampa amazing xD xD cant stop laughing xD
now Boston will kill me amazing xD
2:0 for sure xD
LOL 3:0
Tripled my bank tonight with some luck BUT I always say you have to be good to be lucky !! My posts are the real deal wager and I’m cleaning up this week???
Catastrophic night…
Tampa killed me so….. i tried Boston for the first time… never more these two xD xD
Live wager boyz ! I have 10 wagers in 2 days ! I’ve won 7 . I’m greedy and should stop cause the wave is going to crash but I like ?? and Sunday’s are the devil so I’ll play a couple on Florida game and have a look at Boston getting embarrassed. lol
9 shots 4 goals…. Rask go home u are drunk OMG…
nucks lets give them 10……xD
Live bet – NCAAB Pittsburgh Panthers +17.5 (go as low as +14.5) .. the original spread was +20, and Florida State are struggling to even win. I doubt they beat such a high spread.