Written by Scott on Saturday, January 4th, 2025
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Sorry everyone no tips today. Graeme is sick and my two daughters have a hockey tournament all day and all weekend.
There most likely wont be any tips tomorrow either so use this post to discuss potential plays with each other. If Graeme is feeling better than there may be something tomorrow but it doesnt look like it.
Speedy recovery Graeme.
So far all I’ve played was Devils Jack Hughes to score at +135. Devils have lost three straight, including the first two on the west coast. I think the back to back games vs Carolina may have taken a little bit out of them. They’ve been off since Wednesday, which should give them time to refocus. Most Devils plays are heavily juiced, but the goal scorer props still seem decent.
Jack Hughes has been a pretty consistent scorer. He’s currently went 4 games without a goal, but has taken 18 shots on goal over that span. If he continues with that volume the goal should come. His home/road splits are about even, and he’s been consistent month to month so far. With the Devils so heavily priced and the total set at 6.5, that’s telling me opportunities should be there.
Jack Hughes to score +135.
Hughes was unable to come through. I got this game a little wrong as I felt Devils would have an easier time scoring and that really wasn’t the case. Was holding out hope it would still cash if it reached OT and the ice opened up a bit more. But a failed clearance attempt that hit the ref kept it from getting there. Don’t care about that as much just an odd play. More disappointed as Hischier did score and it was between him and Hughes that I contemplated. Ultimately went with Hughes because I thought he was more consistent and a safer play.
I’ll be taking a shot on Eichel to score at +145. It’s not the sharpest play and is heavily motivated by his small success rate against Buffalo. There’s probably safer plays on him as far as to record a point. Even the assist play is probably better. But I’ll roll the dice and hope he continues to try and stick it to the Buffalo organization. The shot total of Over 3.5 at +105 could also be an option. But ultimately based on the same logic.
So the sample size is super small. He’s scored 4 goals in 3 games vs Buffalo. 17 shots on goal which puts him over 5.5 SOG average. His small sample is aided by him scoring a Hat Trick vs them in 2022. But the last two games he’s played vs Buffalo he’s scored 4 goals and taken a whopping 15 shots. So I think the goal or the shot prop is the way to go. I don’t wanna double dip because both are kind of out of his character to begin with. And like I said the sample size is way too small to bank on.
Not the best approach at a play but I did a preliminary look ahead to tomorrow’s games. And I’m not really liking many of the options in Sundays card as of right now. Boston caught my eye as a potential value line. But they play a tough division game at Toronto tonight. Back to backs aren’t auto stay aways for me personally, but that’s kinda put me off that particular play vs the Islanders on Sunday. And basically every game has at least one team on a back to back.
Vegas Eichel to score +145.
Good evening from Germany,
first of all I am sending best wishes to Graeme. Get well soon. Than for everyone still a Happy New Year and all the best for 2025!
First bet for today is a goal-scorer bet with Bedard to score anytime.
Later I am going with o6.0 in Carolina and the ending of Bruins’ losing streak.
Good luck with your bets everyone!
Sunday Tampa Bay vs Anaheim
Tampa Bay Point to score +125
13 goals in 17 games on the road. Shooting it at an absurd 40 percent on the road as well. 3 games without a goal, which is his current season high. Gets to play on a line with Kucherov. Kucherov has gone 3 games without an assist. That’s also a season high for him.
Kucherov has assisted on 13 of Points 23 Goals. Most of this has been via the Power Play. Anaheim is 26th in the league on the Penalty Kill. So that could be a path to Point getting a goal today. I don’t know how much the Ducks have been able to study and game plan for how lethal Kucherov and Point can be on the man advantage.
Tampa has lost three straight and the offense hasn’t been there in those games. Slight concern at a potential look ahead for Tampa but off the losses I don’t think so. On deck after this are games vs Carolina, Boston and New Jersey. They have games in hand, but are currently sitting in fourth in the division. I think they use this game as a way to get the offense right and get some confidence heading into the tougher matchups. Anaheim xGA have been above 3 in 5 of the Ducks last 6.
Tampa will need the offense with Johansson in net on the second leg of the back to back. They shouldn’t be eager to drop more points with the upcoming games on their schedule next week. They’ll want to avoid going ohfer on the west coast trip. I imagine they’ll look to, and Point will be eager to end the losing streak and get his first goal of the new year.
Tampa Bay Point to score +125