Written by Graeme on Saturday, January 6th, 2018
Follow @BetNHL
Some great action in the NHL last night.
The New York Islanders surprisingly got shut out by the Pittsburgh Penguins to kill our over 6 tip. Jarry pulled off some key saves in the 1st and 3rd which were frustrating. If one had went in the 1st period I think that would have put it over and the Islanders were putting up a ton of pressure in the 3rd. If one had went in there it would have opened the floodgates but alas it was not to be.
My leans went the way they expected with the Sharks/Senators game going over and the Knights winning. The Sharks/Sens one is one of those weird ones where those two teams together is starting to become a goalfest of a game even when there’s no real rhyme or reason towards it. It just seems to happen.
The Knights had a hard fought victory over the Chicago Blackhawks. I stayed away from that one tip wise as looking at the metrics for the Hawks at home, they put in very good performances even if the results don’t show it. That was similar last night and they were just outworked by the best in the biz, the Vegas Knights. It’s one of those where even though I liked the Knights, I feel not tipping it was the right choice. (Although that’s where the unit betting system will be handy with being able to do 0.5 unit plays on games like that).
We’ll have our unit betting tracking implemented on here on Wednesday for those who have asked where we’ll be allocating 0.5/1/2 units per game depending on how we feel about it.
Early games today with the Flyers vs Blues at 1pm EST and then the Stars vs Oilers at 3pm EST. Then we’ve got NFL playoff action as well as the usual Saturday Night Hockey. Great day to be a sports fan.
No OHL, WHL, AHL or KHL tips yet I haven’t had the time to get everything updated. Been busy catching up on work since I’ve been back plus I bought the family a Nintendo Switch at Xmas and I keep having to take a break from work to school the kids at Mario Kart.
Stars vs Oilers Betting Tips:
The Stars are at home where they have a 15-5-1 record. They’ve been an excellent team at home overall this season. They’ve played the Oilers twice so far and both teams have been great contests.
Stars are going into the bye week and I like a big effort from them tonight. We saw that last year with teams – before the bye week they’d put in maximum effort and play hockey like they were the Golden Knights or something.
Oilers should push the Stars hard however I think we’re going to see a big performance from the Stars tonight.
Going to go with the riskier Stars in Regulation here as I think when you look at everything, the most likely outcome is a dominant victory from the Stars.
The over was a contender too for a pick(would probably be a 0.5u pick) but that Oilers offense is starting to concern me again.
Canada: 2.10 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: +105 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.10 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
(Odds correct as of 2018/01/06 10:43:39 AM EST but are subject to change.)
Wild vs Avalanche Betting Tips:
An interesting game between two teams growing in confidence.
The Avs have quite a few injuries yet are coming into this on the back of an impressive 4 game winning streak against solid teams. The method of victories are impressive too.
However the Wild have Parise playing and Niederreiter back and boy did he come back with a bang.
I just think the Wild are going to carry this confidence on with them. Of course I’m concerned – their road form is atrocious – however I think the team spirit they have at the moment is all that is going to matter and they should take this one.
I’ve went back and forth as I really want to take them in regulation but I’ll go with Wild to win incl OT/SO.
Canada: 1.83 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: -125 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.83 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
(Odds correct as of 2018/01/06 10:43:39 AM EST but are subject to change.)
Blues & under 5.5
Dallas & under 5.5 or Dallas -1.5
Thoughts ?
– Bolts Regulation
– Rangers ML
– Golden State (-4)
– Houston Rockets (-5.5)
GLTA!
tampa ML rengers ML kings ML ducks ML
Any thoughts on the STL game and DALLAS game ?
Imo stl are worth a small play as underdogs (nothing more). Dallas I am definitely taking.
How do you like the over 5.5 in Oilers/Stars game?
Don’t really, Oilers have struggled to score lately and Bishop has been great at home. If you’re going for the over you’re going to have to rely on the Stars putting up a lot of the goals. Could easily be a 4-1 Stars win game and you lose.
Blues, Stars and Ducks with 1u;
Silfverberg, Schenn, Spezza and MacKinonn with 0.5u;
Blues over1 in 1th with 2u.
My first thoughts:
Flyers vs Blues over 5.5
Stars REG
Kings ML
Flames ML
Ottawa ML
A 4-1 night for me to get back to winning ways and recover and make some profit from the previous night. Both my picks of the day won, with Vegas and Jets. San Jose looked certain to win at the end of the 2nd, and certain to cash in my 10x return accumulator. However, they decided they had won the game and crumbled in the 3rd. I watched the game, and they were a joke in the 3rd, like they didn’t give a damn. My NBA Celtics tip which I added to help us recover won easily with Celtics winning by a 7 point spread. My added play of Jets TTO over 3.5 won as well, with Jets now scoring 4 goals or more in 16 of their last 21 games. Hopefully I can keep this nice run up tonight!
Early games –
POTD 1. Dallas ML (85%) – Dallas have lost just 5 times this season at home, and three of them coming in a stretch during a dip. They’ve been among the top 3 home teams all season, and Ben Bishop has been superb on home ice, going 14-5 with a 2.01GAA. Ben Bishop has solid stats against the oilers going 6-3 with a 2.03GAA. Oilers have been better on the road lately, but look to be struggling again – barely scraping a win against the Ducks after being shelled 5-0 in two consecutive games. Dallas have already trumped the Oilers 6-3 at home earlier this season and have won 4 of the last 5 in Dallas to the Oilers; With Oilers still having no Maroon and having watched both teams play I don’t suspect Dallas will lose this game. I will play this with quite a high degree of confidence, and will probably take regulation as well as ML.
***Just a thought**** – Blues ML- Not going to play this unless really small, just because I like the odds on the Blues being an underdog, and the Flyers are playing better than they are right now, and have to fall down to earth sometime.
Later games –
POTD 2. – Bolts Reg (75%) – Tampa struggled to beat the Sens when they came to Florida, only winning on penalties. They also hit a speed bump against the Habs. However, tonight the Bolts are back, and I think they’ll be back to do some damage. The Bolts are playing rested, whilst the Sens will be feeling good but tired after pulling a comeback win in OT against the Sharks. The Senators, however, are just not a team to win back to back games right now and still inspire 0 confidence when they still managed to concede 5 goals in 2 periods last night. They won, but not in style. The Sens have allowed a stupid 20 goals in 4 games, whilst Tampa have allowed 1 in their last 3 and 7 in their last 5. Considering Flyers scored 5 in one game to skew that stat, in 4 of their last 5 they’ve allowed 2 goals. Tampa’s goalscoring slowed down a little in their last 2 games, but are never far away from scoring another 5 a game. Tampa is playing strong defensively and have more than enough to get past a Sens defence who look like they like letting goals into their own net. Tampa come out to prove a point tonight and deflate the Sens after their win last night.
Bruins ML (70%) – This came close to being a pick of the day, with the only thing putting me off being the Canes 7-1 record in their last 8 and the historical tightness of games between the two sides. That being said the Bruins have been superb on extended rest and have a stupidly good 15-5 record in their last 20. The Bruins are looking fantastic at all ends of the ice, and have a 6-1 record against the East and a 21-7 record against teams with a losing record. Games between these two have been historically very tight, with 7 of the last 8 games going to OT. Although the Canes are playing well, their road record is still poor having gone 8-12 in their last 20 on the road (although they have won 4 of their last 6 on the road). I just love the way the Bruins are taking teams on right now, they’re better rested, on home ice and better on paper than the Canes. I will ride the Bruins wave until it crashes instead of cashes.
Ducks ML (70%) – This pick got me excited, and again almost made POTD. Flames have managed two consecutive home wins against the Kings and Blackhawks, to put me off giving this POTD status. That being said, Flames have still been an underwhelming side this season. Ducks were unlucky to lose their last game on penalties to the Oilers, but prior to that had won 5 of their last 6 and were finding the net consistently. I like the look of the Ducks, and now they’re in a playoff spot will be looking to secure themselves and having won 7 of the last 8 in Calgary look good tonight. Being offered at an underdog price is makes this a definite play for me even if its not a POTD. The Ducks are a team I’ve really liked the attitude of even when they lose, and I reckon they can down the Flames again tonight as a nice underdog win.
Toronto Reg (65%)- The Canucks are still a banged up team right now, and despite being better on the road than at home they have still only won 1 of their last 7 on the road. Toronto on the other hand has won 4 of their last 5 at home, losing only to the lightning. Toronto has won 4 of the last 5 meetings at home to the Canucks, and historically only 2 games between the sides have gone to OT since 2003 (one being in Vancouver). Toronto had a bumpy road trip and will want to pick up the wins on their home ice, and like many teams before them right now should manage a Canucks team who are relying so heavily on Boeser right now.
Rangers Reg/ML (80%/90%) – Despite the Coyotes win against the Preds, they are still the Coyotes and the Rangers will see this as a good bounce back spot. Both teams have identical 2-3 records in their last 5, but the Rangers are the much better side and have won 4 of the last 5 in Arizona and all 8 of their last h2h meetings. Odds are definitely decent on both ML and Reg.
–Side note, I will have a look at the NBA and if there is anything I like and want to play I will add it as reply to this comment so have a look out for that later–
GL!
I’ll blindly follow your picks and added blues ml. GL!
Small. Play it very small.
Yep pretty small
Should have went smaller haha
Yeah hence why this wasn’t a play… Don’t worry we’ll make it back and then some
***Added Play***- Avalanche ML- Great value again as a dog. Despite the Wilds recent turn of form, Avalanche have been getting it done at home and have won 3 of the last 5 meetings in Denver. Wild still is only 1-4 in their last 5 at home, and with the Avs one win away from a wild card spot I like them to come out motivated. Like the Blues play this small if at all.
Any Parlay for tonight?
Stars ML + Tampa Reg
Or Stars ML + Toronto Reg
Finally – last night I stayed awake long enough to play something!
Winner on Winnipeg ML and Celtics -3.
Brought home almost the equivalent of 6units. Happy. Not done yet though.
Will check and update in due course.
I’m still waiting for your picks today
OVER: Toronto
Team track records: one team can be counted on to score at least 2 goals, and the other will get 4 or more. Both teams can be scored on plentifully. Looking at recent scores and who they were against, I think this one’s going Over. Both teams should be reasonably well rested. Vancouver just got thrashed 5-0 by Anaheim and should want the rebound effort. Toronto scores more and gets scored on more, than Anaheim. Toronto should not feel smug about their playoff position, with the likes of Pittsburgh (who are they this year?), Islanders and Philly capable of exploding for wins, and Detroit showing occasional determination. The east is far from figuring out the playoff positions.
I agree with Dallas, Anaheim and Tampa to win…….the data supports that clearly. Not betting on the Calgary game, the team is in total disarray, no spirit, constant line shuffling and little works. Goal scoring very inconsistent and relies on only a few players. Their coach lays into them yesterday, but they stand there like soda jerks waiting for an order at the gas station in the summer heat, not athletes out to take the silver. Calgary hasn’t won three games in a row since the start of November. Anaheim is feeling their juice for the first time in a long time, madly need more points wherever they can get them, and are on the way up with so many players back from injuries and the playoff race pressure on in earnest. I think this is Calgary’s year to fade out early in the standings.
MR. TRIGGS, would you take DALLAS -1.5 !?
No, I avoid being greedy and taking puck lines. Only PL I would consider today is Tampa. Reg is enough for me.
I have Bolts puckline tonight
I might copy you just for the hell of it. 2nd best offence in the league and 2nd best defence in the league vs the 27th best offence in the league (was 30th last night) and Condon v Vasi. Doesn’t look great for Sens
that’s what I am saying!
I took Dallas ML, 1st though was -1.5 for Dallas…. should’ve gone for -.1.5 not ML
Hindsight is 20/20.
next time if you feel like that put 75% on the ML bet 25% on PL bet thats what I did hope they hold on
”busy night”
#38 Arizona Coyotes – New York Rangers
Full Event (Reg. Time) Away -0.50 (AH) @ 2.110 10/10 PINNACLE
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 07 Jan 2018, 02:05
fair value 1.717
#39 Arizona Coyotes – New York Rangers
Full Event (OT Incl) Away -1.50 (AH) @ 2.980 7/10 PINNACLE
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 07 Jan 2018, 02:05
fair value 2.542
#40 Dallas Stars – Edmonton Oilers
FT(OT excl.) Away (1X2) @ 2.920 5/10 188bet
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 06 Jan 2018, 21:00
fair value 2.605
#41 Dallas Stars – Edmonton Oilers
Full Event (OT Incl) Away -1.50 (AH) @ 4.350 3/10 PINNACLE
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 06 Jan 2018, 21:05
fair value 4.052
#42 Ottawa Senators – Tampa Bay Lightning
Full Event (Reg. Time) Away -0.50 (AH) @ 1.847 8/10 PINNACLE
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 07 Jan 2018, 01:05
fair value 1.575
#43 Ottawa Senators – Tampa Bay Lightning
Full Event (OT Incl) Away -1.50 (AH) @ 2.490 5/10 PINNACLE
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 07 Jan 2018, 01:05
fair value 2.222
#44 Toronto Maple Leafs – Vancouver Canucks
FT(OT excl.) Away (1X2) @ 4.000 4/10 Bet365
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 07 Jan 2018, 01:00
fair value 3.726
#45 Toronto Maple Leafs – Vancouver Canucks
Full Event (OT Incl) Away -1.50 (AH) @ 5.770 3/10 PINNACLE
Ice Hockey / NHL / Kick off: 07 Jan 2018, 01:05
fair value 5.374
———–
13 W – 24 L
+48.04u
( flat stake 1u = +5.20 )
Rangers have two regulation away wins this season. I still think they can do it. Besides Tampa and Rangers I disagree with your picks.
Hey OT what do you think about the B’s and canes Over?
wouldn’t take the over – over has only ever cashed once in the last 5 between canes and Bs in Boston. Boston has a very strong defence that can keep this low. Would lean under.
Ok thank u for the input bud!
could go either way, I would pick side rather than O/U this game. I don’t see any obvious O/U plays tonight, though I like the under in the Preds-Kings game
Ok sounds good. Thanks SDB
****Added Play**** – NBA- (80%) Playing Celtics anywhere up to -3.5/ -4.5 maximum. Boston has handled Nets extremely well over the years and see them bagging an easy win tonight.
good call, tailing you here.
Here’s my parlay of the week:
Alabama -3.5 (college football championship game)
Celtics -3.5 tonight
Bolts ML tonight
$25 – $110
Not bad, I may copy you on that. If San Jose hadn’t blown it last night my three way parlay for 10.8 x return would have come in…
I had x12.6, lost bet uz sharks lost 😀
I was already celebrating, and my gf said “don’t jinx it, senators could score 3 goals”… I laughed at her lol.
I’m glad that i didn’t saw that game, it was 4am for my anyway…
Me too lol. I only woke up at 3pm today lmfao
perhaps you should listen to your gf more
My gf (knows nothing about NHL or any sport) when I asked her as joke a few weeks back – Coyotes or Capitals? She said Coyotes lmao.
you’re making my argument. Coyotes won 3-2 OT
I know lol
SanDiegoBruins what do you tink of wizards -3,5 tonight
Good play.
tnx hope we get it
I don’t have a read on it. sorry
Wizards are solid @Home but tanked last night (4th qtr) against the Grizzlies.
towns under 21.5
What are your views on Kansas v Titans? Chiefs -8 or Titans +8?
8 is alot of wood I think but no play for me
I’m not playing NFL wildcard, waiting until next round
I’m actually also going with Wizards -3.5
you have 4-way or Wizards over Cs?
Taking both Celtics-3.5 and Wizards -3.5
that’s got to have some crazy odds
here’s a NBA teaser for you:
Cs +1/2
Pacers -1 1/2
Wizards +1/2
$25 -> $40
Please I’m not understanding you.
4 Pt NBA Teaser bet
Celtics
Pacers
Wizards
Have Boston -5 at the one of the tickets, let’s see.
Celts cost my parlay on -4 in the reverse fixture ? Nets are mediocre but playing at home.
I’ve gone for Celtics ML under 207 as the defensive game seems to be back on form.
Last night helped cut the losses for the previous night for which I am grateful. I am kicking myself for not going bigger on the Isles-Flyers over, I had high confidence on that one and it came in easily.
Tonight is a tough schedule to find any really sharp bets, the NHL’s parity is really on display tonight. For sure I like the Bolts against the hapless Sens. In fact, I’m going 2u on PL for game, no real value elsewhere in that match.
I also like the Ducks as a dog tonight (quack, quack, woof). Since late December they have really been on a tear. Their road game isn’t great, in fact, it’s subpar, but the Flames home game isn’t much better and after the loss to the Oilers I think the Ducks will be motivated to get 2 pts. Plenty of value here for a team that is at least as good as the Flames and probably better.
No value in the Bruins ML and I don’t trust them to win in regulation, but I am taking them in separate parlays with Ducks and Rangers. Decent odds with both those combos.
I am really intrigued by the Preds-Kings game. Two of the NHL’s elite teams will be facing each other and it’s a conference game with playoff implications. Add to that two of the best goalies facing each other and I think this is a super tight, low scoring game. I don’t know which side to favor but I think the score stays below 5.5. I’d like to hear other thoughts on this. @oliver @arto
GLTA SDB
Hey SDB what do you think about the B’s and Canes Over?
see above comments
Bruins and Canes will go over and take Bs by 4.5 goals LOL
Lol
On Kings v Preds – I’d prefer to take Kings simply because I’m not sure I can trust the Preds with their current form. Things aren’t looking that defensively tight and offence couldnt get past the Yotes?! Kings have won 3 of the last 5 at home against Preds. 4/5 gone to OT, so think this may be tight but I’d take Quick over whoever Preds put in net tonight.
Under?
No clue, could be Preds letting in goals but not scoring them or scoring them and letting them in.
TBL Reg.
TML Reg.
Kings ML.
Parlay
Got NBA
Bulls +6
*Cavs* under 221
*Wizards* over 216
*Rockets*
*Timberwolves* undr 218
*Nuggets*
and NFL
Chiefs under 44.5
Falcons +6
Jags -8.5
Saints -6.5
Best of luck guys
nhl part i picked it from here, very good tips so far
about nba i really like the irving pick going over especially now when horford is out last time they played against nets he scored 28pts
, towns under 21.5 its b2b game playing over 40 min in last 2 matches also he doesnt have that good matchup against cousins
indiana should be winning this one especially if oladipo returns and they wanna make it playoffs.
Any first period winners recommendations?
i have dalas and flayers alredy waiting for tampa and boston
Great start for my picks today and i add T. Toffoli to score 🙂
So, last night was crazy as I picked 4 right goalscorers in one play! 123 odds, wow…
Played both Stars and Flyers, and would’ve given the tips about both, but was away working…
Probably Toronto reg, Ducks reg and Bruins reg would be my other plays for the night. Cba to give details now since it’s late here in norway.
Nicely done! I hope it was a sizable bet
That’s the sad part, I usually put 5-10€ on it, but only had 1 this time. Also was supposed to add in Toews, but Unibet were soo slow to add in plays in the Hawks game and I didn’t have time later on so… Still fun to play on goalscorers from time to time though!
NHL:
Ducks ML
Tampa -1.5
Bruins ML
NBA:
Wizards -3.5
Nuggets -2.5
I’m on the same in various ways
Good night, Tampa…
Got 2 goals back, Tampa can win )))
Praying to God that they will
With -1.5 😀
Doesn’t matter for me tbh as I parlayed it with TML reg and Tampa reg..
They may even cover the puck line, minus 1.5, if they only wish, skating fast and confident as i see.
Hey, long time lurker here.
Made an account just to say how surprised I am that no one mentioned how good the Senators have been lately. Excluding the two Bruins games they look like a rejuvenated team. That comeback last night against the Sharks was huge to their season, I think that might be a turning point.
The odds for them against Tampa at home ice today were amazing… just surprised no one tipped them here except @geiraagerjensen:disqus
Its not over, but when it is 2 0 its always easy to say something like this 😉
Of course, I’m not saying they will even win tonight.
Jut that I’m surprised no one has mentioned how different (in a good way) they look from a week ago when they couldn’t get anything done properly.
Ottawa scored 2 goals and then you decided to post this huh? lol
As I mentioned below, I have my doubts that they can beat Tampa even with a two goal lead. My personal bet was over 5.5 for this one.
My point was to say that they look like a completely different team from a couple of weeks ago.
Odds are still ok, taking now ottawa small bet )))
Awesome if you got it in before the 3rd goal! gl 🙂
Thx, managed to get 1.70 for the Ottawa in regulation ?
Avalanche ML
Flames ML
Kings ML
GLTA