Written by Graeme on Saturday, March 15th, 2025
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Yeah so unfortunately as expected – woke up too late today and won’t have time to go through and do full tips.
I do have like 30 minutes here though so let me just skim through the advanced metrics and look at the odds and see if anything jumps out based just on those
– Knights/Sabres has potential to go over the only thing hurting it is the Knights GA/60 and xGA/60 so I’d be looking at if you can trust the Sabres offense more at home, or the Knights road defense etc and see if the data matches up for a bet there.
– Devils/Pens not really seeing much here seems quite close but Pens aren’t really a backable team at the moment
– Data isn’t there for Caps -1.5 on the road. Even in regulation i’d not back it
– Not touching anything involving the Bruins ha. Looking at the data I wouldn’t take Tampa in reg tho.
– Oh god Leafs at home tonight – Toronto gonna be a shit show (which is where I’m at). Wonder if I can sneak off to the game have to check into that. Anyway this one I actually really like the over with the teams xG etc so yeah I’m gonna say Over 6 @ 1.90 for that even though I haven’t had a chance to assess much else.
– Nothing for Panthers vs Habs.
-General lean on Canes but not too happy with their xGA.
– Another one with the potential to go over is Rangers/Jackets. That’s one I’d like to dive into more though at over 6.5 its a bit hefty. Rangers GA/60 is 2.47 last 10 so only real negative I’d see how they compare against teams with the Jackets offensive metrics.
– Blues metrics actually make them almost a pick. But iffy with them on the road.
Nothing else I am really seeing. Blackhawks are actually probably value but eh
