Written by Graeme on Friday, March 4th, 2016
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That was quite the night of hockey last night. A few demolition jobs, some extremely close games and quite a few intense comebacks.
The biggest surprise was the Flyers being shut out by the Oilers. Talbot has been performing well lately and is proving to be quite a pick-up for the Oilers, but the Flyers were also extremely unlucky hitting the post multiple times. The Leafs battled well against the Wild but Minnesota managed to come out top in a tight game. Penguins vs Rangers was dominated by the Pens.
I actually went to bed thinking we had won the Predators bet. Looked all over – was surprised to turn on TSN this morning and hear about the Devils comeback and collapse of the Predators. A big surprise there considering the professionalism the Preds have played their last few games.
Sharks bounced back from a 2-0 loss in the 1st period to win 3-2. Quite the night of hockey.
And from that we go to just 3 games tonight.
Capitals vs Rangers Betting Tips:
These two usually have high scoring games. Been some great battles between the two lately. Capitals are the highest scoring team at home. Rangers are a bit of a disappointment with only a 2.38 goals per game on the road. However Capitals have had a tough time keeping the goals out lately and I like this one to have a good amount of goals in it.
Over 5 Goals.
Canada: 1.74 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: -137 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.74 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
On top of that, I would recommend a value bet on Rangers to win. I mean just look at these odds:
Canada: 2.75 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
That’s a hell of a price. I could see as high as 2.40 but that’s it.
Oilers vs Blue Jackets Betting Tips:
I’d love to back the Oilers tonight. As I have a soft spot for them I’ve enjoyed watching them play at the moment.
But I think a large amount of that is down to Talbot and luck at the back. Talbot is out, and I think we’ve got some solid value on the Jackets.
Jackets in regulation.
Canada: 2.10 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: +110 Odds at BetOnline..
Everyone Else: 2.10 Odds at BetOnline..
Devils vs Stars Betting Tips:
Another nice value bet on the Devils tonight. Stars have their eyes on stumbling into the playoffs and are resting their players. Their defense is leaky at the moment. Don’t get me wrong Devils are bloody poor but after last nights game their offense showed they can turn it up when need be, and a bet on the Devils is an +EV bet here.
Devils to win.
Canada: 3.15 Odds at 888 Sports.
USA: +200 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 3.15 Odds at 888 Sports.
Experimental Betting Systems:
2-0 in the OHL, 0-2 for the High Confidence 1st period system, 1-2 for Medium Confidence last night.
1st Period High Confidence: New York Rangers at 3.80.
Owen Sound -1.5, Over 7 goals in same game. Bet OHL at:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Weekly Chat with Sports Interaction:
Following the trade deadline, we’ve sat down with the online sportsbook Sports Interaction to discuss the post-trade part of the season, and how the trades before the deadline affected things from the sportsbooks side of things.
BetNHL.ca: The deadline is done with and we’re now looking at the rest of the season with the current teams more or less. How have the futures changed?
Sports Interaction – Canada $20 Money Back Special: The Capitals remain the favourites to win the Stanley Cup no surprise – currently at +425 odds. However the Chicago Blackhawks have moved up to second contender and it’s very close at +450 odds. They made a lot of deals with Ladd, Erhoff, Flesischmann and Weise and that’s one deep roster.
Those two are the two favourites by far as you have Ducks/Kings at +850 then everyone else is above +1000.
BetNHL.ca: Trades can be an interesting thing. The Ladd change for example – seemed to have an impact that night on the Jets/Blackhawks individual games. The Staal trade no doubt impacted the Hurricanes. What should the betting community take in and think about when it comes to the trade deadline?
Sports Interaction – Canada $20 Money Back Special:. As soon as the final trade is done, people should basically hit “reset” and start afresh when it comes to betting on the games. Because now the landscape has changed and teams are able to look at this point of the season and see where they can end up.
For example the Leafs are taking this time to give a thorough evaluation to all the hot prospects they have and are planning for next season. Others however are looking to make the playoffs and will be going all out to do that.
There’s also a big adjustment period for a lot of players no matter what role they play in a team so it can take time to adjust. However we believe that NHL betting before/after the deadline are two completely different animals and people should think like that post-deadline.
BetNHL.ca: Post deadline – who is the team you think people will be betting on?
Sports Interaction – Canada $20 Money Back Special:. The Penguins are a big one. Sure they didn’t do much at the deadline but sometimes it’s about what you don’t do. Crosby is heating up, Malkin is back and Penguins are going to do everything they can to guarantee themselves a playoff spot. Since Mike Sullivan took over they’ve been a lot better too. And we expect less action on the Coyotes and Hurricanes. They hung around for awhile with their rosters but as the postseason nears they’re going to be left behind.
BetNHL.ca: What was the game that gave you the most action this week?
Sports Interaction – Canada $20 Money Back Special: Leafs vs Lightning. Being Canadian we always do a lot of action on the Leafs but this one had pretty much all the money going on Tampa. Islanders vs Oilers was a huge game for us action wise as well.
BetNHL.ca: Thanks as always to Sports Interaction. Canadians if you’re looking for an online sportsbook, the best one by far for Canada is Sports Interaction and their $20 Money Back Special:
I’m digging the jackets pick I’m on it let’s go
i did rangers nd dallas today. and on a different bet i took +1.5 rangers nd dallas
Devils-Stars over 5 – I can’t believe the line is 5 for a Stars game. I’d be surprised if that happened more than 5x all season. Although they suck right now, they are more than capable of scoring 5 on their own; never mind that the Devils have put up crooked numbers against some good teams and Schneider has not exactly been lights out. Yeah, this is the best bet on the board tonight IMHO.
Devils O2.5 – they have some offensive confidence and I like them to score 3 vs a very leaky Stars team.
Oilers ML – I like this team too, they are feisty and have some amazing talent. They are playing with a lot of confidence and nothing to lose; I think they roll over CBJ and Korpse-alo. I also think their rookie netminder is ready for the show and is going to stone the snipers on CBJ.
Oilers O2.5 – see above
good luck boys
San, I don’t like anything today. I was gonna bet rangers over. But I like your post. I’m doing 5 units over Dallas game. Only bet tonight. Gl all!!!!
Boom thank you Sir good call. Another perfect night for me. From Monday- Friday I’ve made 9 perfect bets totaling 42 units. I may be done for the week. We will see what tomorrow brings.
Agree completely. Took Dallas/NJ over based on SDB’s tip. I’ve been really enjoying the discussion and insight from the community lately. Sad I didn’t find this site sooner.
Nice to hear of your success MSF. I won’t jinx you by stealing your picks, but I will definitely be keeping an eye on your comments/shares.
Thank you canucklehead. Hope you have a great run yourself.
I like where your heads at SDB. Dallas/Jersey @ 5 is worth a look on the over. The Devils odds are enticing, but there is no way Dallas can suck this bad for this long is there?
I disagree on the Oilers and have to back Graeme with the Blue Jackets. Brossoit played well last time, but I still think he (and the Oilers) and going to have a tough time against a defensively responsible CBJ team. Korpisalo is 11-3-3 in last 17 which is bonkers. Going CBJ in regulation.
Don’t like the Caps/Rangers game. Sure, both put up a lot of goals and Raanta is in for the Rangers, but despite letting in 4 against the Caps in Jan. I think the team is going to play a lot better this time round. I’m back and forth on this one … I think the Caps should win and I like them in regulation a little better than the total.
Good job last night and best of luck today!
I’m a fan of the NYR, but I think they are a hot mess right now despite a pretty decent record. The king’s melt down last night was emblematic of a season that can’t stay on the rails. I think Caps in reg is a solid bet
one more interesting stat: in last 5, Oilers GAA 1.2, CBJ 2.4. of course, CBJ is way ahead in GF stat.
Rangers Over 5.5
Columbus Under 5.5
Dallas Under 5.5
IM GONNA TAKE
WSH-RANGERS OVER 5.0
CLB-EDM UNDER 5.5
NJ-DAL OVER 5.0
I can see CLB-EDM under 5.5 two young goalies trying to prove they are worthy
I was way wrong about that one lol
Hey it’s ok it happens !!
For shits and giggles
I will take
WSH
CLB
DAL (Desperate need for a win)
Caps
Jackets
Stars
On my ticket
I agree with you
I like The Over 5 on The caps And The rangers but going for The rangers tonight… With raanta in net, doesn’t seem possible.. But it’s paying very well.. Oh well I just don’t agree on that one, could be tight but can’t feel it.
Love the Devils back value.. Super high for a great effort and against a Dallas team that has been so inconsistent in the last few games
And Cory is back in the net which will help even more.
Since talbot also going to rest back Columbus also
What a shitty night for me. For my main bets I had two combos, wild and preds to win, ducks and jets win. Wild won, Ducks were blowing the Coyotes out, Jets and Preds had the leads in the last minute. So i was like this is going to be a pretty good night.
Aand i lost both bets lol. Jets have done this multiple times this season so im not really surprised about that, and after the gwg by the Isles – that wen’t off Ehler’s face (lol) – i couldn’t do anything else but laugh. Preds though ? I didn’t see that coming and i still don’t know how they managed to fuck up that game. Good reminder nothing’s ever sure in the NHL.
Seems like these +8 game rounds are still going very poorly for me. I don’t know what it is, but it seems like i make a lot of bad picks which is on me, but there seems to be a lot of bad luck every time we have a lot of games during one night lately
Oh well, let’s see what we have tonight.
I think the Rangers will come out strong tonight. Good teams seem to respond to losses well after the trade deadline. I guess it’s a combination of making the final push for the best possible place in the standings,making sure you don’t give yourself a chance to go on a slide and lose your spot in the playoffs, and just generally trying to keep up the good morale going into the playoffs. That being said Raanta is in net which makes this game hard to predict. He was great in his last start but the fact is he’s let up 9 goals in 2 games vs the Caps (lost both), and Holtby is a top 5 goalie right now. So even if the Rangers play a very good game and do all the things needed to win, i don’t think they’re going to be able to do it against the Caps who are playing well when they find the motivation, and as these two teams are rivals i don’t think motivation is going to be an issue for the Caps. But i see two very possible options here: a) the Rangers win the first 2 periods but can’t keep their lead in the 3rd as Ovie and the Caps start buzzing and Raanta can’t quite keep the door shut OR Caps have the lead after 2 but get overconfident and rely on Holtby too much resulting in a tying goal for the Rangers. So i think there’s a pretty good chance for OT tonight. Im taking a chance on those 4 odds.
Oilers have to be tired tonight. it’s back-to-back, 3rd game in 4 nights and they’ve played a lot of hockey lately (6 games in the last 10 days not counting this game). My system suggests OT is very likely, but it doesn’t count the fatigue factor. Being tired doesn’t mean you automatically lose though, because sometimes the opponent just doesn’t take advantage of it and let you hang around in the game until you get your legs going – and this is exactly the type of game. Columbus is playing well and can beat anybody right now, but they haven’t shown a lot of killer instinct in tight games resulting in a bunch of OT’s – 6 last month and one that was very close. Playing for pride only gets rid of the pressure, but it also brings out the easy mistakes defending the lead when you don’t need the win. All this considered i think the BJ’s will end up winning this one as if it ends up going to OT they have the fresher legs.
Which brings me to the last game. Dallas is struggling heavily right now but just as the Oilers, the Devils have to be a bit tired right now. Schneider can make it very interesting, but the Stars want to get out of this funk and losing to the Devils is something i just can’t see happening right now. Devils had their upset, it’s very rare to get 2 in a row.
So im going with Columbus ML + Dallas ML combo.
Good luck !
Nice work with the parlay Arto. You have some fortune teller in you. Option A almost came true in the Rangers/Caps game, and I was rooting for you.
Thanks a lot man. Always a pleasure to follow your thoughts as well.
Tonight i play a combo with your picks.
The problem I see with playing 2 deep value plays on the same night is it is likely a break even proposition at best. Just sayin.
Love Washington in this spot catching a Rangers Club that is emotionally injured right now and with out the King they will be able to put at least 4 pass Raanta even tho he is playing well lately …
Hi, so I wasn’t gonna play today but I found 3 games i feel really good about.
Minnesota in regulation
Pittsburgh in regulation
Anaheim in regulation
Good luck all.