Written by Graeme on Thursday, November 19th, 2015
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We went 2-0 last night, 15-3 in just the last couple of days. A nice run.
We had the Jets to win last night. While all of the stats suggested otherwise we both just had a feeling that the Jets would pull out the win and they did that – thrashing the Canucks 4-1.
We also had the Blackhawks/Oilers Over 5.5 goals and after a slow start it heated up in the 2nd period and continued, going 7 goals total.
The Capitals/Red Wings game went Under 5 as we had thought – but we just couldn’t pull the trigger on that one as a betting tip. Looking back I’m still glad we didn’t – the odds just weren’t as favourable as we would have liked, even though it won.
So the NHL announced that the all star game will be 3 vs 3 and a division based format. AWESOME! Props to the NHL for this. This is going to be so exciting and I’ve went from “Meh, all star weekend” to counting down the days until all star weekend!
Love it.
It’s a busier night in hockey. Let’s get to the NHL Betting Tips for November 19th, 2015:
Bruins vs Wild Betting Tips:
The over/under line for this one is 5 and I like taking the over there.
The last 4 games for these teams have been 5 or more goals. Bruins defensively are not the team they once were and are leaking a lot of goals. Both teams coming off 7+ goal thrillers. This is one where I’d be extremely surprised if it doesn’t at least push.
Over 5 Goals.
Canada: As low as 1.68 elsewhere. 1.78 Odds at 888 Sports
USA: -136 Odds at BetOnline.
Everyone Else: As low as 1.68 elsewhere. 1.78 Odds at 888 Sports
Canadiens vs Coyotes Betting Tips:
The Habs are stumbling and bumbling at the moment but they’ve got the perfect chance to turn it around here with a solid win against the Coyotes. Both teams are rested. Coyotes have had no luck on their road trip so far with 5-2 losses in New York and Columbus. Coyotes are a team that have the potential to mix it up – and have beaten 3 Canadian teams in Toronto, Ottawa and Edmonton thus far.
We like Habs to do it in regulation though.
Canada: 1.81 Odds at Pinnacle Sports
USA: -123 Odds at 5Dimes
Everyone Else: 1.81 Odds at Pinnacle Sports
Value Bet: Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins
As a reminder – when we post a tip headlined with “Value Bet”, we’re noting that while we expect to lose more than 50% of the time – we expect to win enough to make it a profitable bet in the long run.
An easy, easy value bet on the Colorado Avalanche here.
Pittsburgh on home ice doesn’t mean anything. at this point. Their record is not good there at all. Going to a shootout with the Habs, scraping wins over Buffalo and Minnesota, losing against the Blue Jackets and Dallas. They did get a fighting victory over Minnesota – and it’s highly likely that they will keep going with momentum on their side.
But the price on the Avs is too good to ignore. Especially considering their road trip so far. 3 out of 4 wins with victories over the Habs and Bruins. They lost to the Leafs but then according to my Toronto friends they are a super power.
Take Avalanche to win.
Canada: 2.60 Odds at Sports Interaction – perfect time to use the $20 risk free bet!
USA: +155 Odds at GT Bets
Everyone Else: 2.60 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
OHL Betting Tips:
Going for 3 home favourites to get big wins tonight with the theory that if they win, they win big.
London Knights -1.5 at 2.20 odds.
Windsor Spitfires -2.5 at 1.66 odds.
Barrie Colts -2.5 at 2.15 odds.
Bet the OHL at:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Are you wagering 1 unit on each OHL game? And are they considered value bets?
Hey Grant,
I’m personally wagering one unit yeah – but as it’s an experimental system I can’t guarantee any long term results if you wanted to play it safe and do less.
Not considered value bets.
What are your thoughts on tampa v Rangers?
And dallas to beat Washington ofds look quite nice
We debated Tampa/Rangers for about an hour today. Both of us wanting to go with Rangers to win(odds are nice) and also the Over 5.5.. We decided not to go with either but both of those are what we were leaning towards.
Stars have a great record in recent times against the Caps. However Caps being at home and the quality of their squad…I wasn’t feeling it for the odds offered.
Scott really liked the over and was pushing hard for that to be a tip.
Il give the over a go
And go with Rangers to. When tampa fan and playing badly it’s still hard to go against them
Food for thought: I’ve noticed you guy occasionally seem to talk yourselves into bets. In the Habs/Yotes blurb here, you gave 2-3 reasons why Phoenix could win, but then said “eh, Habs anyway”. Last year I noticed it was a good place to fade certain plays.
I’m just commenting as a place to perhaps tighten things up a little. I’ve been following you guys for a few years now and love your write-ups. Keep it up!
I wouldn’t read too much into that – I mean a few days ago we had tipped the Jets over Canucks but had provided all the reasons as to why the Canucks should win.
Honestly – there are some days where the blurb is almost an afterthought. When discussing everything yesterday – everything we looked at we liked and so we decided on the Habs fairly early on.
Then we spent over an hour on two games – Stars vs Capitals and Rangers vs Lightning. Going over everything time and time again, playing devils advocate with each other, running simulations etc. That’s on top of all the time we regularly spend on it. (And after all that we didn’t tip either of them).
So by the time we get to writing the tips – sometimes we’re not thinking too clearly with the write-up or are just focuing on writing content. Yesterday for example mentioning Coyotes have beaten 3 Canadian teams so far – that really isn’t something that would come into play when deciding whether to bet a team(unless they’re some super anti-Canadian team). It was more just while doing the write-up I just threw it in there – while rushing to meet the deadline we have set for the mailing list.
Always appreciate the feedback though Tony and we’ll try and stick to the point more with our write-ups 🙂