Written by Graeme on Monday, November 7th, 2016
Follow @BetNHL
It was a good night last night for the tips, as we went 2-0.
We had the Anaheim Ducks to beat the Calgary Flames in regulation and they did just that. It was a solid performance from the Ducks and Kesler grabbed two goals in a nice win for the Ducks.
We also had the New York Rangers over the Winnipeg Jets. The Jets proved to be a feisty team as expected but the better team won there with a very solid performance by the Rangers. Their offense is just on fire this season with 5 goals from 5 different players in this one.
Feel bad for anyone on Dallas yesterday. After that 3rd period on Saturday night I could see why people would take the Stars and it looks like they had a fair bit of action – it was a nice value play. Those Blackhawks though – man are they rolling. It looks like we’re passing the high variable stage of the season and getting into the part where you can count more on the better team winning.
With last nights win, the Oilers are joint top of the West. Very impressive.
Just three games tonight and all early ones. Sadly with Monday Night Football it’ll still be a late night for me. Oh well. We’ve got the Buffalo Sabres taking on the Boston Bruins, the Tampa Bay Lightning visiting Florida to take on the Panthers, and the Islanders take on the Canucks.
Bruins vs Sabres Betting Tips:
The stats don’t fully justify this one but I’m going with Over 5 Goals.
Despite the injuries, Buffalo are doing a fairly good job. Part of that is Lehner who has been fairly solid in net and is expected to start tonight. The Bruins situation isn’t confirmed yet. Rask may have picked up a slight injury and they may rest him again. If so MacIntyre is in net who has an inflated GAA – poor kid was hung out to dry against the Rangers last month.
Neither game is setting the world on fire with goals per game(tied for 25th GPG) and Buffalo currently have a Top 5 defense. This is just an instinct play more than anything where it just feels like it will go over.
Over 5 Goals.
Canada: 1.80 Odds at Sports Interaction + $20 Free Bet.
USA: -125 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 1.80 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
Canucks vs Islanders Betting Tips:
Oh I’m probably going to regret this one in the morning.
I’m taking Canucks to win. I liked the fight they showed against the Leafs. I think that may reinvigorate them. Islanders are without Hamonic. Islanders are coming off some crushing OT losses as well as that 6-1 thumping by Tampa.
The stats don’t back my play up here at all. Despite their struggles the Islanders are 4-3-2 at home. Canucks are 0-4-1 on the road. Canucks easily have the worst offense in the league while the Islanders defense is only slightly below average. But whatever – last night when I looked at the games to discuss them with Scott I liked the Canucks, and I’m going to back them tonight.
Canada: 2.70 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: +165 Odds at GT Bets..
Everyone Else: 2.70 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
(I see the line moving down I’d probably bet it down to 2.55)
Other Game Thoughts – No Tip:
Lightning vs Panthers: Tampa are the better team and Florida have some concerns with their goaltending at the moment. Tampa should be able to beat the Panthers but I can’t count on them at this price. Their road form is rocky and they’ve had a lot of inconsistent performances. They are who I’d lean towards but I really see this as a 50/50 game so the odds don’t justify a bet on either side.
Lightning and Islanders today
Hello Guys!
For a long time I´ve been wondering how recover from losses.
Is there any strategy you use or is better start again as nothing happen?
I really appreciate hear from your expierence.
You need x units and sth. like a known winrate.
I need about 32 units and I know my winrate is about 50%.
I always start with 1 unit. If I lose, I double my units. ODDs are always 2+, so I will get profit every time I win a bet.
If I gamble to much, it can happen that I lose like 4 bets in a row, then the trouble gets real. 1 unit + 2 units + 4 units + 8 units = 15 units lost. Therefore I got joker units to cut my betting from profit. For example: I lose 1 unit + 2 unit then I bet 3 units (joker to lower the stakes). This strategy can beat your betting, if you lose to much. Because with losing the stake will rise exponential. I think there is no general recovering strategy – just win all bets. And that’s why I just bet on one game. For being able to raise my stakes. Greetings and good luck
What’s your bet today?
I have no bet, but I’ll wait for lion and lookup his pick.
Mate, If you have an another idea then let me know so we can create the Voltran for tonight ?
Thanks for sharing! greetings and good luck as well! 🙂
2 questions: you stop doubling bets when you lose 15 units? you only use the joker units sometimes or when you use it? Sorry I got confused, when you double bets and when you use the joker units.
Mostly I use the joker as described above. On the third bet. Sorry for confusing, the first part was meant to introduce. Joker units are kind of a break which I use on my own.
Win or lose i play the same, 1 unit on each game. In my case 1unit have 5% of my balance. When i start was 0.5 euro. Now is about 2 euro. Unitl the end of regular season. This is how i play at one sportsbook. Only individual bets on NHL games. For fun i have account at different sportsbook. Sometime i play combos with all 3-4 games posted here, players to score and football ( soccer ).
Thanks for sharing! Cheers! 🙂
So magus you only play for fun right?
Well this is a very generalized question and I’m not sure what you mean. But to try and cover everything:
– You should have a bankroll split into units and it goes up and down based on winning or losing.
– You should look into why you lost – whether it was simple variance, the wrong play etc – like maybe something you missed. Learn from the experience. Just like with winning. We do that. For example last night we had Ducks in regulation and they won by 4-1. But was there a missed opportunity there? Should we have bet Ducks -1.5 for more value? Always look at is an education.
– If you’re struggling mentally with losses don’t look at trying any crazy betting systems to get back up such as the martingale. Take a day off if it’s affecting you and also look at lowering your bankroll.
And one big thing is trying not to affect your future plays – don’t take it personal etc. We had the Blue Jackets to beat the Kings and Sharks. In retrospect both bets seemed good value even though they lost, but we’d be lying if we said it didn’t put us off taking the Jackets for the next little while despite the value. And sure enough we missed 3 opportunities following that – Ducks, Stars and Canadiens. the Ducks/Stars ones in particular had some great value.
Martingale is my part here. You really need to know what you do when you start betting with this. As I said you need a winrate (and much experience) otherwise you can lose a lot of money. Especially when you try to recover on ODDs <2!
Thank you! always valuable save time and money hearing from others´ expierences, specially when those expierences are from successful people! 🙂
Only one last night and -2.1 units for me.
Tonight i feel will be the underdogs night. So…Sabres, Canucks and Panthers.
I never bet the big salami but tonight I’m taking the over 15.5 at -110. Any one of these games could easily be a 6+ game and with the exception of the Canucks whose scoring has been nonexistent all the other teams are capable of putting up crooked numbers.
I also like the over in the Cats-Bolts game. The last three games these cross-state rivals played each went 7 goals total. Both teams are capable of putting up big numbers and don’t have shut-down goalies or defense.
Bolts ML – Cats are nicked up and without top 6 Jagr and Jokinen. Bolts GPG, PP and PK are all better than Cats.
Project lion 2/15
Panthers win %100
Good luck everyone.
Please share your game and amount if you participate in project lion. Please also be informed that you do not have to bet on the game I predicted.
Still 5 more hours to the game. I may change the idea of putting my money to predicted game. Necessary updates will be done least half hour before the games starts
Lion, you have to explain this to me again.
You must concentrate on only one game. After you know the game then you will put your unit (1 to 5) to that game and share it with us by putting 1/15 and the game that you picked for that night. If you win in 1st period, then you must all what you earned on your favorite game for 2nd night. I advise you guys that you are not betting on regulation but you make your own decision. Lets see all together how far we can go with it.
I would also prefer the panthers, if tampa weren’t the enemies. For it looks like a coinflip who wins, but I prefer Tampa as better team.
Regarding this whole thing and if you really think Sabres can win in Boston, I would prefer Islanders in regular (as best value).
Otherwise Boston ML. Now it is your part, mate. 🙂
I will listen you tonight.
I’m with you. 🙂 0.67 units 😉
Okay my post with links was canceled.
Lion we did a good job tonight! Because I was bored, I wanted to bet big on Boston, but they scored just in time and my bet was canceled. So I did the big bet on NYI 3 way with 2.15 ODD and 500€ and I won 521 :)))..
Just because we agreed here. Then I just bet on Tampa to score second 200€ and got 145€. Also my unit bet which was 67,37€ on NYI regular where I got additional 50€. Im really happy tonight. I felt good and it went good. Let’s keep the good work going on. ;)))
project lion 2/15
Bolts ML 🙂
🙂 yours should be 1/15
good luck!
good luck to you as well.
I think you are mostly infected by going with Bolts. sad start and hope you doing well tonight mate!
Project lion 3/15
Islanders win
A bit scared about the regulation to be honest, even tho i feel like i could aswell just put a -1.5 on Islanders tonight, but ye going for the safe one tonight as all games are a bit 60/40-ish, Progress: 10kr>20kr>30kr>46.66kr ?
Not only going well in this little project but my first ever shared prediction yesterday here on this site went 4/4! =)
Looking away from this little challenge i like
BUF Sabres Win
NY Islanders -1.5
NY Islanders – VAN Canucks Over 5.5
TB Lightning Win
TB Lightning – FLA Panthers Over 5.5
Good luck tonight everyone! =)
Lion King 🙂 Nice pick – also spot on with the Panthers – no “nice little run” for Lightning 🙁
Tonight I am on board! 🙂
I believe you ll do better tonight! Keep up working, there ll be so many games. Btw Panthers could win against bolts even last game but things kept for last night.
Thanks 🙂 I have my favourite pick lined up for tonight – look forward to see your pick of the day later on 🙂
Lightning reg. – They looked solid against the Devils and I think they will get the W in regulation. As I wrote the other night I think it’s time for a nice little run for Stamkos & Co.
Project lion 1/15 – it might be bad karma going against lion but here we go 🙂
GL
Pretty good night yesterday. Blues game went exactly as i thought it would, i said they’d get contribution from all over the lineup and 5 different players scored goals for them. Also the Devils in reg. value bet worked out perfectly. A bit bummed out that the Stars couldn’t hold the lead in the 3rd, but i guess that was something i probably should’ve seen coming. Initially i rooted for a Flames-Ducks surprise OT, but backed down from it after i saw that Getzlaf&Bernier were in, both guys who i didn’t expect to play and in my opinion made a big difference.
Was also nice to see that my instincts on the Oilers win and Jets inability to keep the Rangers at bay came true. So definitely on the right track here.
Tonight two bets i absolutely love.
Sabres-Bruins OT @ 4.10
Bolts in reg. @ 2.50
GL !
Thank you arto for the tips yesterday ,i took blues handicap and devils plus rangers a nice combo with a very nice win
Nice ! 🙂
Yeah Arto. I also followed you the last year. Please don’t stop your predictions, especially if you lose. Then we know good tipps will come up from you. 🙂 Thanks for your work. You are doing a great job!
Congratulations to your clairvoyance about St Louis and even Devils. The Blues bet was quite impressive. I read the comments here, but stay away from commenting. But that Blues one deserves a reward
I think bruins win tonight at home, then loose their asses tomorrow night against habs. I like tampa also.
My first ever shared prediction yesterday here on this site went 4/4! =)
Looking into todays matches!
BUF Sabres Win
NY Islanders -1.5
NY Islanders – VAN Canucks Over 5.5
TB Lightning Win
TB Lightning – FLA Panthers Over 5.5
Good luck tonight everyone! =)
Do you think overs/unders are worth real money?
I usually do not bet on over/under, but just feeling it confident in these 2 matches tonight! 🙂
Just asked because I see most people failing with those bets. Some just put over bets on Penguins and get some profit. ;)) This season Rangers also good for this!
Stats show their games go under 90%time
Its good you are part of project lion and u go with single game. Otherwise you would fail tonight ? so keep sliding man!
Bruins-Sabres U4,5
Islanders
Vancouvers bubble crash will need new injections.
Tampa wins 2 in a row from now, Panthers had their two
Everyone is going islanders. Why? Any real stats on it? Or just because theyou have lost 5 straight. We should all know by now, those loosing streaks break, and Vancouver is 3-1 ATS against islanders. They should get a win tonight ending this loosing streak
Difficult back Canucks that are in a free fall and Islanders are not reliable plus no worthy odds.
I like how Sabres has been winning, nevertheless they face tough Bruins team as visitors.
So, even though probably they going to OT and then you never know, same as Jens I pick Bolts ML as stronger team for 1/15 Lion project, sure won´t be any karma at all… 😀