Written by Graeme on Tuesday, November 8th, 2016
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After two great nights it was an unfortunate 0-2 last night.
We had Over 5 goals in the Bruins/Sabres game and things picked up in the 2nd, with the Bruins scoring 3 goals. Early in the third it was looking good – Rask was pulling saves out of his ass, but the Sabres had a real rush going and it just looked a matter of time until they made it 3-1 and we had a game on our hands.
Unfortunately Derek Grant recorded a stupid penalty by basically diving head first onto Rask. That killed the momentum and after ANOTHER penalty caused by Grant, the Bruins wrapped the game up 4-0 in the PP. That’s the variance in hockey for you.
I also had the Canucks to beat the Islanders. After that Leafs game I knew they would have some fight in them. It was a risky play but I felt generally happy with the Canucks performance. They were more than a match during the first two periods and it was just an unlucky third period for them.
So it was a disappointing night – but they were two picks I was really feeling and I’ve always felt to be a winning bettor you have to make a mix of bets based on stats, and bets based on feeling, momentum etc. Despite the losses I’m happy enough with the plays.
We move onto Tuesday night with 10 games on the board tonight – a busy night for the NHL.
Canucks vs Rangers Betting Tips:
First let me repeat what I said above – I was happy with the Canucks performance last night. I felt they matched up well with the Islanders and they were unlucky that things just didn’t go their way in that third period. Of course that may say more about the Islanders than it does the Canucks.
One thing I didn’t like though is a lot of the Canucks players responses to that game. Yeah they had a couple of good periods but they were acting like they were robbed in that third period. It just seems such a horrible mindset to have – while the Islanders may have had the bounce of the puck there are a lot of issues with the Canucks and it’s like they are blind to them.
And now they visit the high flying New York Rangers. You know – the Canucks will win again at some point. For sure they will – these last two games have been a strong indication of it. The’re 3.50 tonight which is an incredible price in hockey and one where I believe you can blindly bet it and it’s +EV. (Has a positive expected value)
But I’m going to make a stats-based pick of Rangers -1.5 at 2.00 odds. On this losing run the Canucks have only kept a game within 1 goal once. Rangers have had some leaky goaltending but only one of their wins have been by less than 2 goals this season. They’ve had quite a few empty net goals which can be a bit of concern – the variance on them is crazy. But despite all that the stats just dictate this play tonight.
Capitals vs Sharks Betting Tips:
Capitals really should beat the San Jose Sharks tonight but I’m a bit concerned there. After that thumping from the Penguins where they were held goalless, I feel like this is a bounce back game tonight. In saying that – Washington are the better team with a solid 4-1-0 home record while Sharks have stuttered on the road.
I’m going to take Over 5 Goals in this one. Sharks are averaging 3.70 goals per game while I feel the Capitals play to their opponents. They do what’s required and I like the Sharks to get a few goals here and the Capitals to match them. To be honest I had this one expected to be 5.5 so I’m very happy with the Over 5 at 1.90.
Yotes will beat the Avs tonight. Thoughts?
In my opinion Avalanche win in regulation, but i prefer to stay away from this. Why? I don’t know.
Maybe over 5.5 – Both could score some goals here
Another negative night for me, -0.3 units.
Tonight i like Penguins, Sharks, Kings and Stars.
I am also considering Kings and Stars – however can Kings cope with a strong Leafs with 3 W’s in a row? Jets must be tired by now – but can Stars rebound from two bad losses against the Hawks? Thanks
TML are 5-1 at home, Kings are 1-4 on road.
True but Kings looked good against the Flames – it’s a long shot I know – lets see 🙂
0-7; you gotta love NHL 🙂
I told you as an idea to lay your thoughts. You are still thinking about to much trends which just dont happen. 😉
I will go with Pens, Stars and Predators tonigt.. Maybe all bets look risky but they are the teams I lean on tonigt
with rantaa for new york and those odds, i like the canucks as underdog here
Its better to skip , cuz no value in going Ragers in reg. but they will win
I can tell you know nothing about the NHL
i can tell you don t know nothing about the nhl if you think that you can be sure about the result of an nhl s game 😉 we ll se tomorrow, hope for you rangers will win 😉
Who told you I was on the Rangers?
you don t like to be agree with me, i don t said i ll put big money on, bu with 7 or 9 loosing streak and number 2 goalie for NY, i like canucks odd
SJ Sharks ML @ 2.25 with 1 unit
Besides SJ as a nice dog, don´t you think Oilers can ring the bell tonight at very good odds?
You ask the wrong person, because I’m somehow sbd. who wants the oilers to lose. Last two times I commented against oilers here and they won those 2 times. I also would comment against the oilers today, but I can’t say whether they win or not. The ODDs on Penguins make this whole thing a nobet to me.
Project lion 3/15
Predators win %100 in reg.
Good luck everyone.
I have something new today. I ll start with the another project called as Project lion combi. We need to pick 3 favorite games. Can be 2 but not 4.
Project lion combi 1
Caps win %100 in reg.
Wings win %100 in reg.
Stars win %100 in reg.
Good luck everyone!
TML 100% 2/15
You couldnt slide mate. So you start from 1 again ? good luck
OK I revise: TML 100% 1/15
I like Maple Leafs but it is easy to score against them. Kings definitely will score some goals. this game may end OT so advise you to not play in reg.
TML ML. I think they are better in OT because they are faster than LAK
Yes they are faster but Kings will score easy!
Devils 100% 1/15
How about the Devils lion?You think that they will crush again carolina?
I did not work on that game at all. I just advise you to not think so that Devils may not lose again because they already lost 1st round. If Hurricanes wants to be part of playoffs then they must win such games. So, they both will play hard for win. If there would be only 3 games tonight and that game is one of them then maybe I could but today no!
You are free to make your decision ;)’
Good luck!
Lion Project 1/15 =
Capitals win regulation 100% 🙂
I think this time Hurricanes will win.
Niciun meci nu seamana cu altul.:)))
:)) asta asa e,dar tot o sa merg pe ei de data asta -1,5 vedem de dimineata bafta
sper sa tina
Lion, I want to play Caps tonight too. Can u tell me why U are so confident about this 100% in reg. ?
Caps are tough in both attack and defense. Sharks dont not have good attackers to pass the wall easily. If I would predict the score for that game then I say 3-0
Thanks mate, good luck! 🙂 Always looking forward for Your tips.
LoL ☺
Bigger LoL on Rangers. :)))
Yes but lol to my predicted score ☺ I said caps ll win 3-0 not sharks cant stop smiling really.
You’d better don’t bet against my sick picks. 😀
I’m also taking Preds reg. Good luck 🙂
Nice to hear. I was looking for that ☺ Good luck!
Btw. my program said today:
Ottawa win
San Jose win
Carolina win
But I always have to fix some picks. :)) SJ looks best for me.
So lets hope its not saying right about ottawas ☺
Feels like there is alot of value to get out of these ones, even tho im not touching 2 of them tonight. Ottowa win, San Jose lose, Carolina win is my thoughts =)
I’m on Nashville and Sharks. I also feel like NJ will do their work @ home. It seems a bit funny, because the ODD on Sharks was 2.35. I took my bet @ 2.25. Short time later it dopped to 2.1. This is in most cases a good sign that I’m doing right. I hope Caps lose, but I don’t hope you guys lose. For me it is a 50:50 coinflip game, so I take the higher ODD. :)))
Project lion 4/15
MON Canadiens in reg.
Was thinking about Pittsburgh and Colorado aswell, but main rule for me, never bet on the team you cheer on (Pittsburgh) when it comes to this type of betting if im not 100% confident about it… And Colorado i feel like is just to shaky atm!
Progress: 10kr>20kr>30kr>46.66kr>83.98kr?
Project lion combo 1/5-10
WIN Jets Win
TOR Maple Leafs Win
PIT Penguins in reg.
Progress: 4kr>24.76kr?
Good luck to all! =)
Good night for project lion but not good start of combi ☺ very bad performance from best gk of the nhl. I must be honest thaat he was bit unlucky too. Caps missed many chances. If they could score first then result would be totally different. I dont want to talk about Stars at all. See you tonight again ☺
Habs reg
Devils ml
Flyers ml
Pens reg
O 4.5 / o 5 caps/ sharks
Total odds @ 16
Todays preds
Capitals in reg
Maple leafs ML
Jets ML
Penguins -1.5
Avalanche in reg
Canucks got geat value! I believe they bounce out of this horrible loose streak. Why not go for it when they are such under dog. +250
agree !