Written by Graeme on Saturday, October 29th, 2016
Follow @BetNHL
Well it was 2-2 for a slightly losing night. We decided to go for the riskier Blackhawks in Regulation bet than Blackhawks to win including overtime/shootout. Obviously if we had played it safe we would have won that one.
However I mentioned yesterday that neither of us felt right about betting that one and even though it cost us the win we still felt the same way. When it gets to OT/Shootout it’s practically a coin flip, and so we’re only betting 1.71 at that point when true odds are 2.00. Looking historically at our bets, we missed out on a lot of units in strong, confident picks of teams at 1.70-1.75 when we could have bet them in regulation.
We won’t be doing that ALL the time – but you’ll see picks like that more often. And honestly? Sometimes it feels better to be wrong than lucky(although our betting balance disagrees!). Whether we underrestimated the Devils last night or overrestimated the Blackhawks – it gives us something to look back to and really take a good look at.
We got another win with the WHL to bring it to 7-1 for the season. A nice start there.
Onto Saturday. A lot of games today as per usual and it all begins at 1pm with the Panthers vs Sabres. Love a good Saturday afternoon game. We’re skipping that one though.
Penguins vs Flyers Betting Tips:
The Flyers have had some disappointing perfomances lately. Some of it you can just put down to bad luck but they’re having some real struggles. They’re having a lot of high scoring games though – both for and against. Penguins are a bit slack on the offensive side of things but they’ve clicked the last two games and we’re going to go with that happening again. They certainly get the shots on target enough. We like the Flyers to be competitive however and are taking Over 5.5 Goals.
Canada: 2.15 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.10 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
Blues vs Kings Betting Tips:
The Kings are a tight team and are playing fairly solid defensively without Quick. The Blues have been quite disappointing after a solid start to the season. Their last two home performances in particular. However we do like their defense for the most part and their penalty kill has been solid. They just need to start getting more shots on net. We like them to raise their game and take care of the Kings here.
The Kings however have went to overtime in their last 4 and won them all. Blues have had two games go to overtime and lost both. While overtime and shootouts are generally 50/50 for the most part, you do see some situations like that which can tip the scales in one sides favour. Based on that we don’t see the value in taking Blues to win including overtime/shootout and will take Blues in regulation.
Canada: 2.11 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: +110 Odds at BetOnline..
Everyone Else: 2.11 Odds at BetOnline..
Mathematical/Experimental Betting Systems:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. Previous Records: 1st Period System 30-36 (+15.99u), OHL 28-15 (+17.15u)
WHL Betting Tips(7-1, +4.69u): Medicine Hat Tigers to win at 1.84 odds. Prince George Cougars to win at 1.67 odds. Prince Albert Raiders to win at 1.87 odds.
OHL, WHL & AHL Betting:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
A very big fail for me last night.
I hope tonight be better. So… Red Wings, Habs and Avalanche.
Hope you picked your sabres! 😉 Good luck
http://postimg.org/image/5spgxuigz/
2-1 night for me again last night, +1.13 units, and 4th + night in a row, so not bad. I know its going to be popular today, but I’m on the Habs tonight. I also like the Wings and Wild.
@BlueLineBets on Twitter
Yesterday you only wrote: Rangers and Oilers, didn´t you?
Yes, but I also had the over in the Flames/Senators game. You can check my twitter feed and website for my official picks.
@BlueLineBets on Twitter
I have a value bet, which I won’t bet this night:
New Jersey ML @ 2.05
I would take it with a higher odd 2.2 or 2.15 (maybe live, but im to sleepy now).
Just if sbd started to follow my strange success: Yes I’m on 4-0 with ODDS 2+. But it could also be 0-4. Always be careful!
Tonight picks,
Bruins win %100 ( I think it will be their return game )
Lightning win %70
Flyers win %80
Stars win %100
Blues win %80
Avalanche win %100
Capitals win %100
Predators win %100
Good luck everyone
How sick is that. 5 goal on the first period for Flyers-pens